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Kentucky vs. Louisvillle: Week 3 NCAA Lines & Spread Prediction

Saturday CFB Betting– Wildcats & Cardinals TO Play All the SEC marbles

It’s rivalry time in the Commonwealth of Kentucky, but while the locals in Bluegrass country might be very excited about this reunion of two bitter foes, it’s going to be hard for this game to draw considerable national interest.

Venue/Stadium: Commonwealth Stadium
Time/Date: 7 p.m. Eastern, September 17
College Football Odds
Moneyline: -220
Spread (ATS): Kentucky -5.5
Over/Under: 41
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Louisville and Kentucky will find it very hard to score points. This will make the clash between the Cardinals and the Wildcats a close affair, but not a game that will be aesthetically pleasing.

Louisville is hampered by its lack of size under center. Quarterback Will Stein is under 5-10, and that means he’s limited in his ability to see and survey the whole field. Stein had several passed batted down by the defensive front of the Florida International Golden Panthers last Friday. Stein was not able to throw the ball in open lanes; Florida International got its hands in the air, thereby creating incomplete passes that blunted Louisville drives.

UL was also stopped on a fourth-and-two from the FIU 11; the Cardinals could not run the ball against the front seven of a Sun Belt Conference team. That shows how poorly Louisville has fared so far this season.

The story for the homestanding Wildcats is not much better. Kentucky, in week one, barely slid by Western Kentucky, which stands far below Florida International in the Sun Belt’s pecking order. Kentucky gained under 200 yards in that game against WKU, and it committed three turnovers as well. The Wildcats, fresh from that very disappointing performance (even though they won by a 14-3 count), were not much better at home against Central Michigan. Kentucky trailed throughout the first half and needed a fourth-down stop of the Chippewas in the third quarter to turn the game around and win by a 27-13 score. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Basically, these are two miserable offenses in search of any small spark and any minute degree of positive consistency. UL and UK have been consistently bad on offense this season; the Cards and Cats simply lack the offensive weaponry they need to be factors in their respective conferences. The big key to this clash will come on special teams. Field goals should be readily available in this game, because each offensive unit will be hard-pressed to finish drives. Moreover, the kicking game will acquire a prominent role in deciding the outcome because it will shape the field-position battle. The team that can establish a big edge in terms of kick returns will enable its offense to score points without having to drive over 50 or 60 yards. Cheap points will loom large in a game like this, so the team with the better kicking game will dramatically increase its margin for error.

College Football Betting Pick: Kentucky

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About Dave Golokhov AKA Vegas Dave

Dave Golokhov has written for Playboy.com, BETUS Sportsbook, Sportsfanmagazine.com, FOX, Askmen.com, Sports-central, and the FOXSports.com Funhouse.


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