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Fresno St. vs. San Jose St. Free Week 8 Preview & Pick (Oct. 23)

NCAA Football Odds – Fresno St. Bulldogs vs San Jose St. Spartans Free Pick & Preview

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Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans

Saturday October 23 – 8:00PM
Spartan Stadium, – San Jose, California
Fresno State (4-2) vs San Jose State (1-6)
Moneyline: Fresno State -1100, San Jose State +700
Spread Favourite: Fresno State -19.5
Over/Under: 51.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!

Fresno State

The Bulldogs may be 4-2 but they have failed to impress this season in my books.  Two weeks ago they got rolled by Hawaii on their own field which is something that a good team just wouldn’t do.  Then they followed that up last week with a lacklustre win against New Mexico State.  This week they face the other WAC cellar dwellar on the road at San Jose State.

Fresno State seems to be struggling with their identity this year – they are about average in most facets of the game.  Last year they were a run heavy squad featuring current San Diego Charger Ryan Mathews.  His replacement Robbie Rouse has been OK but QB Ryan Colburn hasn’t stepped up as was expected of the senior QB.  The Bulldogs still have some games to elevate their play to remind us of those tough Pat Hill teams of old.

Fresno State has owned the Spartans winning nine of the last ten (7-3 ATS).  They have been the favourite in all but two of those games while carving out a reputation as one of the tougher outs outside the BCS.  I wouldn’t normally want to back Fresno in a situation like this but they have covered the last 6 times as double digit faves in the series.  Lucky number 7 seems likely.

San Jose State

The Spartans have faced one of the most difficult schedules in the country so it should come as no surprise they are 1-6 at this point. 

They have lost to Alabama, Wisconsin, Utah, Nevada and Boise State, all of whom were ranked and undefeated when they played.  Tucked in the middle was a sixth loss to FCS Cal Poly.  They lost that one by a point at home and it is the greatest indicator of the state of the program.  They are just not very good.

A few years ago former coach Dick Tomey had these guys whipped into a frenzy.  They had an athletic defense and qualified for a bowl.  Today they are likely the worst team in the WAC and probably won’t win another game.  They are the absolute worst scoring team in the land averaging an astonishing 8.9 points per game.  They are the only team in single digits.

I generally try to be a bit optimistic for each squad when putting these pieces together but the Spartans might be the worst team in the FBS this year.  Their only hope might be that with starting QB Jordan La Secla out they might get a spark from backup Matt Faulkner.  That is about all you can hitch your hopes to and it ain’t much.

The Pick: Fresno State should crush their in state conference rivals.  Unlike previous recent contests they should cover the spread too.

College Football Gambling Trends

Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Spartans are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 3-0-1 in Bulldogs last 4 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Favorite is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Score Prediction:  Fresno State 41 – San Jose State 10

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.