NCAA Football Odds – Tulsa Golden Hurricanes vs SMU Mustangs Free Pick & Preview
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Golden Hurricanes at Mustangs Matchup
Saturday October 9 – 8:00PM
Gerald J. Ford Stadium – Dallas, Texas
Tulsa (3-2) vs SMU (3-2)
Moneyline: SMU -250, Tulsa +210
Spread Favourite: SMU -6.5
Over/Under: 64
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!
Tulsa
The Golden Hurrican have been pretty average this season. Yes they are 3-2 but they were beaten badly by the two best teams on their schedule, giving up a ton of points to East Carolina and Oklahoma State. They are 1-1 in the conference but can catch SMU with a key road victory on Saturday night. They were successful in beating the Mustangs in Dallas two years ago but they were a heavy favourite in that one. This time they are the underdog.
QB G.J. Kinne did not have a very good season last year. This year he has been better although he is still throwing it to the other guys more than he should. He has also proven that he is not he steadiest performer mixing good games with bad games. When he is good the Tulsa offense looks like the juggernaut of a couple of years ago. When he is bad the TOs just kill the offense and punish the defense.
With these two teams there is definitely going to be a lot of balls in the air and points on the scoreboard. Tulsa’s pass defense has been absolutely shredded this season, they are third worst in the country and are giving up almost 300 yards per game.
SMU will definitely attack them through the air (they always do) and should have no problem moving the ball against one of the worst defenses in the FBS. 
SMU
SMU is only a few key plays away from BCS Buster status and coach June Jones must be wondering what if. They lost by a TD to Texas Tech in the opener and definitely had their opportunities against TCU a couple of weeks ago. This is definitely a program on the rise and they are 2-0 in conference, tied with Houston at the top of Conference USA’s West Division.
The Mustangs are happy to get their leading rusher Zack Line back from injury but they are still going to primarily move the ball by the forward pass. QB Kyle Padron is demonstrating increasing mastery of June Jones offense and it wouldn’t surprise me if some are looking at him as the leading QB in this pass happy league next year. For now he is certainly good enough to pick apart the overmatched Tulsa defense.
No team has dominated in terms of victories in this series but SMU has won six in a row and eight of ten ATS. Pretty amazing given their were some very lean years in there. For whatever the reason they have always been able to hang with Tulsa but now they are the favourite role for the first time since 2002. They are 0-1-1 ATS as a favourite this season so lets see how they handle it.
The Pick: Given the relatively modest spread I think SMU is the smart play here. Clearly they have had Tulsa’s number in the past and are the considerably better team this season. Let’s keep it up under a TD though.
College Football Gambling Trends
Golden Hurricane are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Golden Hurricane are 10-24-1 ATS in their last 35 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Mustangs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Golden Hurricane are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Score Prediction: SMU 41 – Tulsa 28
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