Bet On College Football – Southern Methodist Mustangs vs Texas Christian Horned Frogs Gambling Preview
The SMU Mustangs have been using some weak competition to straighten out their game after a disappointing opener against Texas A&M. They come into the weekend on a three game winning streak and they have given up just 7 points over the last two games.
SMU Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs
Amon G. Carter Stadium – Fort Worth, Texas
Saturday October 1 – 3:30PMMoneyline: TCU -425, SMU +340
Spread (ATS): TCU -11.5
Over/Under: 56
Odds courtesy of 5Dimes
SMU
This game marks the beginning of a difficult stretch of games @TCU, home to UCF and @ Southern Miss. A win would be a great start, especially heading into C-USA play.
The last two games have been complete blowouts but when you are playing Memphis and Northwestern State that is to be expected. Against A&M they really struggled because they couldn’t run the ball. SMU has a good passing game but if they don’t threaten with the ground attack they are too easy to defend. Since J.J. McDermott took over in the opener he has been pretty effective but he turns the ball over more than you would like to see.
These teams face off almost every season and the Mustangs have won just one of the last 10. However over that stretch they are 6-4 ATS so taking SMU plus the points might not be such a square play. TCU is not as dominant as they have been over the last 5 years but it is still going to take SMU best effort of the season to date to beat them. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
TCU
It took a while for the TCU Horned Frogs to get going last week but in the end they covered as an amazing 41.5 point favourite against Portland State. I know it was just PSU but this was the third week in a row that the defense has given up less points than the week before. That will be a tough trend to maintain but if they keep SMU below 13 this week they will win in a walk.
Running back Ed Wesley should be returning this week but the Frogs have been doing just fine without him – Waymon James and Matthew Tucker have both been averaging 5 yards a carry or better. Unfortunately linebacker Tanner Brock will not be back this season as he is out for the year with a broken foot. It seems like this year the offense will have to shoulder a greater amount of the load which seems to suit QB Casey Pachall just fine. He has been superb.
TCU has owned SMU for the past decade. Above I wrote about how SMU has been a fair ATS play but if you look at the game results you will see that every TCU victory save 1 has been by 10 points or more including 4 by 24 or more. TCU is looking for one last tuneup before diving into MWC play and they should get it here unless the Frogs are looking ahead to visiting San Diego State.
ATS Pick: TCU -11.5
Over/Under Pick: Over
Score Prediction: TCU 41 – SMU 27
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