Week 14: Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders vs Florida International Golden Panthers Preview Free College Football Pick
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Blue Raiders at Golden Panthers
GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP WITH OUR CFB ATS STATS —>
Saturday December 4 – 6:00PM
FIU Stadium – Miami, Florida
MTSU (5-6) vs FIU (6-5)
Moneyline: MTSU +175, FIU -210
Spread Favourite: FIU -5
Over/Under: 54
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!
Middle Tennessee State
The Blue Raiders have been a complete disappointment this season. At the beginning of the year many though they had a chance to be Sun Belt champions and now the most they can hope for is a .500 season and a chance at a bowl game. Even that is only a result of late season victories over Florida Atlantice and Western Kentucky. They beat WKU, the worst team in the league, by just a single point.
The primary reason for their struggles has been QB Dwight Dasher. Since coming back from his early season suspension he has been a shell of the player that was among the most exciting in the nation the year before. He has thrown 13 interceptions against just 5 TDs this season and his running is generating only 3.5 yards per carry. On a team without great playmakers they are forced to keep trotting him out there and his poor performance is a bit of a mystery.
These teams have met five times and all five have been won by the home team. On top of that those home victors are also a perfect 5-0 ATS. That seems like a hard trend for a middling MTSU squad to buck on Saturday. Their only chance is if Dasher can turn back the clock and have a game like he did last year, overcoming 3 interceptions with a couple through the air and 3 more on the ground in a 48-21 victory. 
Florida International
If my math is correct the Golden Panthers have already clinched the Sun Belt championship by virtue of their victory over Troy earlier this season. That gives them the tiebreaker edge should they lose to MTSU while Troy wins this week. This has the makings of a very good season for the other squad in Miami with any wins from here on out gravy on top.
The Golden Panthers may be playing with SEC and ACC leftovers but they have been getting the job done. Sure they lost to 4 straight BCS opponents to start the season but since Sun Belt play opened they have just a single loss. Their formula is to play it pretty simple and try and set up their best playmaker TY Hilton to make a play either receiving, running or in the return game that will make a difference. He has scored every which way this season.
FIU should be able to put the Blue Raiders out of their misery with a victory. MTSU doesn’t deserve to sneak into a bowl game the way they have played this season and the Golden Panthers have the chance to make sure that doesn’t happen. The key is to bottle up Dasher who should be pretty geeked up considering it could be his final game as a collegian.
The Pick: FIU should be able to corral Dasher and get some big plays from their own super hero Hilton. A pretty drab game but a victory nonetheless.
College Football Gambling Trends
Blue Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Blue Raiders are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
Blue Raiders are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
Golden Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Score Prediction: Florida International 28 – Middle Tennesse State 17
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