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Week 1: Cincinnati vs Fresno State Preview & Pick

Big East Football Previews- Cincinnati Bearcats vs Fresno St. Bulldogs

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Bearcats at Bulldogs Betting

Date/Time: Saturday, Sept. 4   10 p.m. (ET)
Venue: Bulldog Stadium, Fresno CA.
Bearcats vs Bulldogs Lines by SportsInteraction.com
Pointspread:Bulldogs – 3
Moneyline: Bearcats +135    Bulldogs -160
Over/Under: 58
Bet Now @ SportsInteraction.com!

The Cincinnati Bearcats head to the West Coast to open their 2010 season against the Fresno State Bulldogs in a Big East-Western Athletic Conference showdown.

In 2009 Cincinnati hosted Fresno State in Week 4 and came away with a hard fought 28-20 victory as a 17 point favorite. The Bearcats went on to win their next eight games en route to a Big East title and a trip to the Sugar Bowl where they lost to Florida 51-24. The Bulldogs bounced back from the loss to win seven of their next eight before losing to Wyoming 35-28 in the New Mexico Bowl.

This season there are major question marks for both teams. Bearcats former head coach Brian Kelly is now with Notre Dame and QB Tony Pike is in the NFL. In their place is new head coach Butch Jones and quarterback Zach Collaros.

Last season Collaras did see some significant playing time when Pike went down with injury. He threw for 1,424 yards and 10TD’s and showed the ability to lead this offense. The Bearcats also have Armon Binns and USC transfer Vidal Hazelton at wide receiver and Isaiah Pead at running back. Pead led the team in rushing last season with 806 yards on 121 carries.

Defensively, Cincinnati comes into this game with more questions than answers. Over the last five games of the 2009 season, the Bearcats gave up an average of 39 points per game. With only five starters returning from last year, there will be a number of new players making their first collegiate start. NFL Betting

One of Fresno State’s biggest challenges will be replacing RB Ryan Mathews, who ran for over 1,800 yards in 2009. The likely candidate is Robbie Rouse, who ran for 479 yards backing up Mathews last season. Ryan Colburn will return as the Bulldogs starting quarterback. In 2009 he threw for 2,459 yards and 19 TD’s, completing over 60 percent of his passes.

Another challenge for the Bulldogs will be stopping the run on defense. Last year they gave up an average of 214.1 yards per game on the ground. Players like DE Chris Carter and DT Chris Lewis will have to do a better job at shutting down the run or Pead could have a field day against them.

Over its last 10 games Cincinnati is 3-7 against the spread and failed to cover in its last five games. Fresno State is 6-4 ATS in its last 10 but just 2-4 in its last six. The Bearcats are 5-5 against the ‘over’ line while the Bulldogs are 4-6.

Cincinnati is not the same team as last year and could struggle against a quality opponent on the road. Both offenses should be able to move the ball against two very suspect defenses so look for a high scoring affair with the Bulldogs pulling out a win at home.

Cincinnati vs. Fresno State Gambling Trends:

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State’s last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Cincinnati is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Fresno State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Fresno State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Fresno State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

The Pick- Fresno State -3 and OVER

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David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.