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Finding Value in NCAA Football Win Totals | Free CFB 2013 Predictions

Betting Lines – NCAAF Futures

As we continue the agonizingly slow crawl through the summer months toward the start of football season, it’s important to remember that there’s more on the board each day than just baseball. College football win totals offer value to the informed bettor who keeps an eye on the sport during the offseason.

Here are 10 win totals worthy of a closer look. Lines courtesy of 5dimes.eu.

Georgia Bulldogs (9.5)

Georgia isn’t getting the respect they deserve after a strong 2012 campaign in which they pushed eventual National Champion Alabama to the brink and won their first bowl game with Aaron Murray at the helm. Murray returns to play behind a solid offensive line with a great running game in an offense that returns 10 starters.

The play: Over 9.5 (-195)

Kentucky Wildcats (3.5)

Head coach Mark Stoops has the team heading in the right direction, though they’ll always be dwarfed by the basketball program. This play is as much about the team’s schedule as anything else.  Kentucky opens their schedule with a winnable neutral site game against Western Kentucky, then a home date with Miami (Ohio). A home game against Alabama State in November rounds out what should be three non-conference wins. The team should find at least one more win from this group of four games: at Mississippi State, vs. Missouri, at Vanderbilt, vs. Tennessee.

The play: Over 3.5 (-160)

Miami Hurricanes (9.5)

The Hurricanes have the ACC title in their sites as they bring back 18 starters from last year’s team. Quarterback Stephen Morris and running back Duke Johnson will have the offense humming, while the defense has to be better than it was a year ago.

The play: Over 9.5 (+135)

Stanford Cardinal (9.5)

Apparently 11-win seasons don’t carry the cache they once did, because Stanford has turned the trick in three consecutive seasons but remains an afterthought. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Kevin Hogan took a big step forward in the second half of last season, and the defense remains one of the best in the nation. A favorable schedule sees the team avoid Arizona and play seven games at home.

The play: Over 9.5 (-145)

Clemson Tigers (10.5)

Tajh Boyd and Sammy Watkins return, but isn’t anyone else concerned about the departures of Andre Ellington and DeAndre Hopkins? The team will also have to deal with a tough schedule this year. I’ve got them losing their opener against Georgia, and they close the season at South Carolina against a Gamecock team that has won the last four meetings.

The play: Under 10.5 (-215)

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (4.5)

The Rebels have a total of four wins over the last TWO seasons and six over the last three seasons, yet they’re being asked to win five this year. The team hasn’t won a road game since 2009 and has lost twice in the last two years as double-digit favorites against 1-AA teams.

The play: Under 4.5 (-140)

USC Trojans (10.5)

USC plays 13 regular season games this year and avoids Oregon, but it’s still tough to expect big things out of Southern Cal this year. The team will experience some growing pains as they move on to life after Matt Barkley, and while the defense adjusts to a new 5-2 alignment. Plus, it’s tough to root for Lane Kiffin.

The play: Under 10.5 (-230)

Vanderbilt Commodores (7.5)

There’s a lot to like about what James Franklin has done with this team, but the numbers simply don’t support Vanderbilt winning eight or more games. Even if the team claims the low-hanging fruit, they would still need to win two games from this group of six: vs. Ole Miss, at South Carolina, vs. Georgia, at Texas A&M, at Florida, at Tennessee.

The play: Under (-170)

Virginia Tech Hokies (9.5)

The Hokie offense looked dreadful at times last season. Logan Thomas took a major step backward in his junior season. While he should be better this year, 10 wins is asking a lot of a team that opens their year against Alabama, and has trips to Georgia Tech and Miami on their schedule.

The play: Under 9.5 (-180)

West Virginia Mountaineers (5.5)

West Virginia was just 6-6 a year ago and faces major personnel issues entering this season. The team’s offense took a serious hit with Geno Smith, Tavon Austin, and Stedman Bailey moving on to the NFL and three additional departures along the offensive line, while the team’s defense was awful a year ago, even by Big 12 standards.

The play: Under 5.5 (+160)

The 2013/14 College futures betting season is here in full force! If you like to bet on NCAA football, you are in the best possible place for online betting. CappersPicks.com has NCAAF odds up on a ton of futures, and you will also find College football lines up for early games as well.

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Gino is new to CappersPicks.com but NOT new to the online gambling industry.He's got an AMAZING knack for discovering hidden gems when it comes to betting on sports. Stick with him as he predicts when a team will have a letdown! Check Gino out for NBA, NHL, NFL, and MLB betting articles all season long!


Comments

Comments

  1. mark hunt says:

    How is usc playing 13 regular season games? for betting purposes, do all 13 games count for regular season wins? Are odds makers aware of this fact? it doesnt seem like most bettors are. current usc win total is 9.5 almost everywhere you look, meaning they have to hit 10-3 mark to hit the over. some tough games on the schedule, but this is attainable. take the over 9.5 wins imo because of the freebie win in hawaii!

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