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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Akron Zips Point Spreads & Preview

Week 11: Falcons vs Zips Predictions

College football Week 11 betting action sees the Bowling Green Falcons taking on the Akron Zips on Tuesday November 4th InfoCision Stadium in Akron, Ohio.  Cappers Picks provides free college football handicapping tips all season long.

Finally the start of some early week MACtion. This one likely to determine who wins the East Division.  On a Tuesday night anything can happen.

College Football Odds

Bowling Green Falcons (5-3) vs. Akron Zips (4-4)
Tuesday November 4
8:00PM
InfoCision Stadium – Akron, OH
ESPN
College Football Betting Lines:  Akron -7
College Football Betting Total: 60
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Bowling Green

The Falcons have had some close calls but they are 3-1 and in first in the MAC East heading into Tuesday. In an amazing turn of events they have gone from being one of the best defenses in FBS to one of the worst – they are giving up 36.5ppg.

Last week they had a surprising loss to Western Michigan at home and they need to bounce back to keep their lead in the division.

They have won 5 straight against the Zips and covered 6 straight so they should be coming in with confidence.

Part of the Falcons struggles this year has been that they have been without QB Matt Johnson nearly the whole season.

Backup James Knapke has not been terrible but with the defense not bailing the team out much this season the turnovers have been more costly.

The Falcons are pretty balances on offense and there is no reason they can not win this one on the road.

Akron

MyBookie

Akron has been streak this season. When they won at Pitt to close September is kicked off a stretch of three wins in a row and put them in the rare position of being the favourite in the division.

They have lost their last two game though, both on the road, and they desperately need this one if they want to stay in the hunt for the division title, or better yet, a bowl slot – dare to dream.

Similar to Bowling Green of last season the defense has been surprisingly getting the job done.

It has to because the offense can be anemic, averaging just 22ppg.

They have ascore over 21 points just twice in their FBS games this season and quarterback Kyle Pohl is questionable at the moment with a concussion.

The passing attack was the only thing that was really working for this club so without him they could really be dead in the water offensively.

It is surprising that they were made the favourite so heavily.

NCAA Football Handicapping Trends:

  • Under is 7-0 in Falcons last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Zips are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Zips are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Falcons are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Akron.
  • Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

4* NCAA Football Week 11 Prediction: Bowling Green +7

I know I shouldn’t get too excited but this is a great opportunity.

NCAAF Score prediction:  Bowling Green 27 – Akron 24

BGSU should win this one outright as the Zips struggle on offense It won’t be pretty but there is awesome value there.

Check out our Updated NCAA Football Week 11 Odds.



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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