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Free Prediction: #2 Auburn vs. #6 Mississippi State Point Spreads & Preview

Week 7:  Tigers vs Bulldogs Predictions

College football Week 7 betting action sees the Auburn Tigers taking on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday October 11th at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi.  Cappers Picks provides free college football handicapping tips all season long.

Things are getting very real for Mississippi State.

College Football Odds

#2 Auburn Tigers (5-0) vs. #6 Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-0)
Saturday October 11
Davis Wade Stadium – Starkville, MS
College Football Betting Lines:  Auburn -3
College Football Betting Total:  63
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They seem to be having a breakthrough season but just one slip will have them sliding down the mountain. The question is whether they are really ready for their closeup.


The Tigers used last week’s carnage and a rout over LSU to climb to the second spot in the national rankings. Most thought this team would slide after last year’s run to the title game but they are looking just as dangerous as ever as they enter the second round of their gauntlet through the SEC.

Every single team left on their schedule, save FCS Samford has been ranked in the Top 10 at some point this season.

If they make it to the playoffs they will have earned their spot big time.

This year’s Auburn team is winning by substituting strong defense for last year’s lucky breaks – its a nice formula.

They have kept their lethal rushing attack but they also have the 9th stingiest defense in terms of points allowed and gave up just 7 to LSU. QB Nick Marshall seems to be really developing as a passer too which is why the Tigers are the team to beat now in the SEC.

Mississippi State

Things are really coming together for the Bulldogs. In the past they have laid waste outside of the conference building nice records but as soon as they entered league play and started playing teams with a pulse they faltered.


Last week they beat a ranked SEC foe for the second week in a row.

They still have a few more hurdles to clear before they can claim this season a huge success but it is setting up nicely for a special season.

They have to get this one though, all of their toughest games after this are on the road.

To give you an idea of how things are rolling in Starkville I saw some recent odds that have QB Dak Prescott as the odds on favourite to win the Heisman – not bad considering that the two QBs from the national championship teams are in the mix and undefeated.

Prescott has been sensational this season, running and throwing, and he will need to be again because I think the Bulldogs are going to have to score some points to win this one.

NCAA Football Handicapping Trends

  • Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
  • Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Mississippi State.
  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

NCAA Football Week #7 Prediction:  Auburn -3

I really want to root for the Bulldogs but I think they will come up short. This game will be close throughout and with the Tigers scoring a TD late to put it out of reach.

NCAAF Score prediction:  Auburn 38 – Mississippi State 27

Take the value with Auburn.

Check out our Updated NCAA Football Week 7 Odds.

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.