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Free Prediction: Alabama vs. Arkansas Point Spreads & Preview

Week 7: Crimson Tide vs Razorbacks Picks

Week 3 college football betting action sees the Alabama Crimson Tide taking on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday October 12th at Donald W. Reynolds Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas.  Cappers Picks provides free college football handicapping tips all season long.

Alabama better rebound quickly or else they might get steamrolled by the Razorbacks. This is a huge opportunity for a team on the rise.

College Football Odds

#7 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2)
Saturday October 11
6:00PM
Donald W. Reynolds Stadium – Fayetteville, AR
ESPN
College Football Betting Lines:  Alabama -10.5
College Football Betting Total: 54.5
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Alabama

The Crimson Tide lost on the road last week at Ole Miss. Sure it might have been an upset but that was a good Rebels team they lost to, maybe the best they have had in a generation.

This week they are on the road again against an Arkansas team I think is very capable of beating them.

The Tide lost the game last week because they lost the turnover battle and committed more penalties. Alabama is usually more disciplined than that and odds are they will be much sharper on Saturday.

All summer the talk was about Jacob Coker  but Blake Sims took the reigns of the surprisingly potent Alabama attack.

Last week he wasn’t the cause of the Bama loss but he did his share. He needs to have a short memory because the Crimson Tide will not be able to run all over the Razorbacks. They are used to seeing that kind of attack all the time.

MyBookie

Make your call on this one based on how you think Sims will respond.

Arkansas

The Razorbacks were on the come before quandering their lead against Texas A&M and losing in overtime.

They have had a couple of weeks to stew about it which means they are either going to be frothing at the mouth…or they may have lost their edge.

This is one case where I think their style really suits what they are trying to accomplish. If you are mad and sense some hesitancy there is nothing better than smacking them in the mouth with a powerful ground game.

Adding fuel to the fire is that Arkansas has been embarrassed by Alabama in each of the last two seasons.

They will be able to have some success on the ground but they also need to get something from QB Brandon Allen. They are playing with a thin margin for error but they need him to be more than mistake free.

He hasn’t thrown a pick since week 1 but they need more. Two or three big plays can be the difference in this one.

NCAA Football Handicapping Trends

  • Crimson Tide are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Crimson Tide are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 8 games on fieldturf.
  • Razorbacks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
  • Razorbacks are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

NCAA Football Week #7 Prediction:  Arkansas +10.5

I really want to go out on a limb and say the Hogs get the upset but that would be too far. Instead they get their respect back in a hard fought game.

NCAAF Free 4* Score prediction:  Alabama 31 – Arkansas 28

Great value with the Razorbacks.

Check out our Updated NCAA Football Week 7 Odds.



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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