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Free Pick: Ohio State vs. Navy Gambling Lines & Handicapping Preview

Week #1:  Ohio State vs Navy Predictions

Week 1 in college football betting action betting action sees the Ohio State Buckeyes taking on Navy Midshipmen at the home of the Ravens – M&T Bank Stadium – in Baltimore.  Cappers Picks provides free college football handicapping tips all season long isn’t it time you add us to your daily bookmarks?

The opener should be a fun test of the mettle of Ohio State which has lost its best player before the season even started. I am excited to see this one plays out against feisty Navy.

College Football Odds

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Navy Midshipmen
Saturday August 30
12:00PM
M&T Bank Stadium – Baltimore, MD
CBS Sports Network
College Football Betting Lines:  Ohio State -16.5
College Football Betting Total:  55.5
College Football Gambling Odds from SportsBettingOnline
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Ohio State

The Buckeyes were one of the early favourites for a playoff spot before Braxton Miller went down before the season even started.

That reframed their whole season but this is OSU so the expectations are still pretty high. This will be a stern test with Navy being one of the most disciplined teams in the country.

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The Buckeyes will certainly have the physical advantage but if they are sloppy with it being the first week and all Navy will take advantage.

They are not in Annapolis but the crowd will be loyal to Navy for sure.

I was surprised that the line is as big as it is without Braxton and with an untested backup. The Ohio State defense is supposed to be a monster this year and they are going to have to dominate in this one to cover that number.

The rushing attack of Navy is not intimidated they hung more than 300 yards on a very good Notre Dame defense last year.

OSU has to get points early to put the pressure on.

[soliloquy id=”82219″]

Navy

This is a fun one for the Naval Academy. They often play big name schools but rarely in pseudo home games and even more rarely with a really strong chance to win – they lost by just 4 points against OSU back in 2009.

Navy is a super disciplined triple option running team and if they can have success they can make defenses feel really uncomfortable. Best of all their style wears at teams and their confidence.

This is not a team to be underestimated.

Though it is no surprise how Navy will attack this year’s attack is keyed by Keenan Reynolds as super savvy triggerman who scored a ton of touchdowns last year. An effective running game is the only way that they are going to scare the Buckeyes and potentially cash a ticket for backers.

Given the losses on the OSU side this number looks a little too inflated.

NCAA Football Handicapping Trends

  • Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
  • Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Buckeyes last 6 games on fieldturf.
  • Midshipmen are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
  • Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.

NCAA Football Week #1 Prediction:  Navy +16.5

As someone who generally prefers underdogs this is a nice spot on opening weekend. Plus it always feels better to back a team like Navy against a behemoth like Ohio State.

That running game will be good enough to keep them close.

4* NCAAF Score prediction:  Ohio State 30 – Navy 27

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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