Terrapins vs Tigers NCAA Football Spread/Handicapping
The 13th-ranked Clemson Tigers play host to the Maryland Terrapins, in what could end up being one of the more lopsided contests in all of college football this weekend. These two teams have split their last 10 meetings five games to five, but the Tigers have proven to be contenders this year, while the Terrapins are a sub-.500 team at this point.
Maryland Terrapins (4-5) vs No. 13 Clemson Tigers (8-1)
Saturday November 10, 2012
Memorial Stadium, BALTIMORE, MD.
3:30 PM ET
Moneyline: OFF from BetOnline
Spread: Clemson -31.5
O/U: 55
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Maryland Terrapins
The Maryland Terrapins are in the midst of a three-game skid, in which they’ve lost to North Carolina State, Boston College and Georgia Tech most recently. The first two games were tightly contested, but the Georgia Tech game saw the Terrapins fall by 20. Things aren’t getting any easier for Maryland as the season comes to an end, as they have Clemson this weekend, followed by No. 10 Florida State.
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If the Terrapins are going to challenge the Clemson Tigers, they must score points. They’re averaging less than 20 points per contest this year, as they’re just 108th in points per game. They’ve yet to establish a true go-to option on offense. Their passing attack is only good enough for 96th in the country, while their offense is nearing dead last at 117th. Clemson averages 42.7 points per game, which is going to make it tough for the Terrapins to keep up.
The bright side in this contest is that Maryland allows just 21.7 points per game. That’s good enough for 33rd in the country, which is better than what Clemson has done this season. The Terrapins are 11th in the country in total yards allowed with 301.7 per game. They are 20th in passing defense and 18th in rushing defense, both of which are better than Clemson.
Clemson Tigers
The Clemson Tigers have gone 8-1 at this point in the year, and if it weren’t for a 49-37 loss to the Florida State Seminoles, they would be in the hunt for a BCS title appearance. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Their strength of schedule hasn’t been too impressive, but they’ve exerted their dominance on lesser-quality opponents all season long, which is what they could end up doing this time around against the Maryland Terrapins.
The Tigers have been a great offensive team this year, and it all starts with junior quarterback Tajh Boyd. The 6’1” man behind center has thrown the ball for 2,680 yards and 25 touchdowns this season. He is coming off a game where he gave up three interceptions, but he was relatively efficient otherwise, completing 16 of his 23 passes for 344 yards and five touchdowns. Maryland has a good pass defense, but they’ll be tested by Boyd from start to finish.
Clemson’s defense hasn’t put up the numbers that Maryland’s has, but their offense will give them a clear-cut advantage. As long as Boyd doesn’t go out and play a terrible game, the Tigers should be able to come away with a big win. Their running game has been decent this year (32nd in the nation), so they’ll have a balanced attack come Saturday. Clemson is rolling at this point in the year, and with their toughest opponent coming in the last week of the season (South Carolina), they should be a one-loss team by the time that final match comes around.
Trends
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-1 in Terrapins last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Terrapins last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games on grass.
O/U Pick: Over 55
Score Prediction: Clemson 45 – Maryland 13
