Bears vs Sooners NCAA Football Spread/Handicapping
The Baylor Bears finally picked up a win last week against the Kansas Jayhawks, giving them their first victory in five contests. The Oklahoma Sooners, on the other hand, have won four of their last five games.
Baylor Bears (4-4) vs No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (6-2)
Saturday November 10, 2012
Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, NORMAN, OKLA.
3:30 PM ET
Moneyline: Oklahoma -1500, Baylor +950 from TopBet.eu
Spread: Oklahoma -20.5
O/U: 77
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Oklahoma is ranked 12th in the nation, and while a Big 12 title is going to be tough to grab at this point in the process, it’s not impossible, and it starts with getting a win against the Bears this weekend.
Baylor Bears
The Baylor Bears defeated the Oklahoma Sooners last year, but they’re missing one key ingredient from last season’s roster—Robert Griffin III.
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Their passing attack is still as dangerous as ever, but without their undisputed leader on the prowl, the early advantage has to go to Oklahoma.
The other concern, and it really is the biggest concern there is, is that Baylor’s defense has been downright awful this season. They’ve allowed 39.1 points per game, which is only good enough for 117th in the nation.
The good news is that for as many points as the defense has allowed this season, the offense has been even more impactful. Baylor is averaging 43.8 points per game in 2012, which is good enough for sixth in the country. Only five teams in college football score at a higher rate than the Bears, and luckily for Baylor this weekend, Oklahoma isn’t one of them. The Sooners are going to get their points, but the question is, can Baylor simply outscore them?
Oklahoma Sooners
The Oklahoma Sooners need the Kansas State Wildcats to lose two games in order to have a shot at a Big 12 title, which is something they have no control over. However, they also need to win every game the rest of this season, which very much puts even the smallest part of their fate into their own hands.
While Oklahoma doesn’t have the offense that Baylor has, they are still extremely reliable on that side of the ball. The team is 49th in rushing this season, having averaged 175.1 yards per contest, but it’s their passing attack that has kept them elite. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Landry Jones has passed the ball for 2,414 yards and 16 interceptions this season with just six interceptions. The team is averaging 313.6 yards per game through the air, which is good enough for 16th in the nation, and their putting up 39.5 points per game, which is good enough for 15th.
This game is going to come down to which team can have more success through the air, and while the Bears are the better squad in that particular category, the Sooners’ defense might have something to say about that claim.
Oklahoma’s pass defense is ranked 12th in the nation this year—they allow just 170 yards per game. Baylor’s pass defense? They give up 326.6 yards per contest and are the fourth-worst in that area in the entire country. Baylor won’t be slowing down the Sooners come Saturday, which will make it difficult for their offense to keep up, no matter how good they are.
Trends
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
Over is 10-2 in Bears last 12 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Sooners last 4 conference games.
O/U Pick: Over 77
Score Prediction: Oklahoma 51 – Baylor 28
