Venue/ Stadium: Bill Snyder Stadium, MANHATTAN, KS
This game features one of the best duel-threat QB’s in the county in Baylor’s (3-0) Robert Griffin facing a Kansas State (3-0) defense that ranks 6th in the nation. NCAAF lines have the visiting Bears as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 63.5.
Time/Date: 3:30 PM EST Saturday, October 1, 2011
NCAA Odds From: BetOnline.com
Moneyline: Baylor -170 / KSU +150
Spread (ATS): Baylor -3.5
Over/Under: 63.5
No. 15 Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats Preview
In their last games Baylor crushed Rice 56-31 and Kansas State was impressive in their 28-24 road win against a solid Miami team.
Last season at Baylor Griffin passed for 404 yards and 4TD and the Bears beat the Wildcats 47-42.
Can the Wildcats’ defense contain Griffin, who may be the leading Heisman candidate after 4 weeks of the college football season? That is the big question in this game and last week in the blowout win over Rice he was 29/33 for 338 yards with 5 TD and 0 INT and he also rushed for 51 yards. He has a good WR corps and he will be facing a KSU pass defense that ranks 11th in the nation. How good has Griffin been? Well, this season he has more TD passes (13) than incompletions (12). Wow.
RB Terrance Ganaway joins Griffin in the backfield and he will be counted on to help griffin out in moving the chains. The KSU D is solid and they also have 8 sacks in 3 games and if they do not get to Griffin the backfield and pressure him they may give up a ton of yards in the air.
The Wildcats’ secondary must key on Bears WR Kendall Wright (31 rec 420 yards 4 TD) and if they can keep him in check they have a legit chance to win, as the next leading receiver only has 10 catches. While KSU does have a solid defense they did give up 411 total yards against Miami last week.
For Kansas State on offense it is all about the run, as their rushing offense ranks 24th in the nation while their passing offense only ranks 114th. While KSU QB Collin Klein may not be as good as Griffin he is also a legit duel-threat and leads the Wildcats in rushing yards. He and RB John Hubert (286 yards 1 TD) must play well for the Wildcats to pull off the home upset.[soliloquy id=”82219″]
Hubert and Klein combined for 259 rushing yards last week against Miami with Hubert averaging an impressive 9.2 yards per carry. Baylor only ranks 71st in the nation in run defense and if they cannot contain the Wildcats on the ground than Griffin will have to light up the scoreboard for the Bears to win.
Betting Trends
Baylor is 2-0 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-0 and KSU is 2-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-2.
Baylor is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games facing a team with a winning record, and has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
KSU is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Big 12 games, and has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
Jason’s Pick: Yeah, the Baylor D is nothing to write home about, but Griffin will carry the team and have another HUGE game, as KSU will not be able to contain him. Take the Bears to win and cover and take the Over as well, as Baylor may come close to scoring 60 points themselves.
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