Tigers vs Crimson Tide NCAA Football Spread/Handicapping
With Oregon and Kansas State both losing last week Alabama is back on track to play in the BCS title game, but they have to beat Auburn and then 3rd ranked Georgia in the HUGE SEC title game. Auburn (3-8) has had a season to forget and they are 07 in SEC play. .
2012 Iron Bowl
Venue/ Stadium: Bryant-Denny Stadium, TUSCALOOSA, AL
Time/Date: 3:30 PM EST Sunday, November 24, 2012
NCAAF Odds From: JustBet.cx
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Alabama -32.5
Over/Under: 46.5
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Auburn Tigers vs. No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide Preview
They have won 2 of their last 3 games, but they were against the weak teams of New Mexico State and Alabama A&M. NCAAF lines have Alabama has big 32.5-point favorites with a total of 46.5.
In their last games Auburn beat Alabama A&M 51-7 and Alabama beat Western Carolina 49-0.
On the season Auburn is 4-7 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-6 and Alabama is 5-6 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-5-1.
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Auburn played well in their first 2 games facing ranked teams, but in their last 2 games facing teams in the top 25 they were crushed.
Auburn only ranks 115th in the nation in passing yards per game and 74th in rushing yards per game and they will be facing Alabama and their top-ranked defense. Jonathan Wallace has played decent under center since taking over the starting QB job, but he has not passed for over 190 yards in any of his 4 games this season. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
For Auburn to win this game they will have to run the ball well, which will not be easy facing the Tide and their 3rd ranked rushing defense. RB Tre Mason has rushed for over 100 yards in 2 of his last 3 games, but those were games facing weak teams. Still, he is averaging over 6 yards per carry this season and he and RB Onterio McCalebb must play well and eat up the clock on the ground or this game could get ugly.
QB AJ McCarron has a great WR corps and the only game he was picked off in was the shocking loss to Texas A&M. RB’s Eddie Lacy and T.J. Yeldon have each rushed for over 800 yards on the season and the strength of the Tide offense is their rushing offense.
Auburn’s D has struggled all season against good teams, which Alabama obviously is, and they rank 93rd in the nation defending the run and 44th defending the pass.
In some betting trends for this SEC game Auburn is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games, and they have an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and they have an Under record of 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games.
Jason’s Pick: I think Alabama will easily win this game, but since it is a big rivalry game Auburn will step up and they will not get totally crushed, which is why the Tigers will cover.
