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Villanova vs. North Carolina Free Pick (Apr 4)

Villanova (30-7) vs. North Carolina (32-4)

2009 NCAA Tournament Final Four Action
Saturday April 4, 8:47 PM ET
Detroit, MI Ford Field

Villanova is 3-1 ATS in this year’s tournament.  They are getting fantastic guard play out of Scottie Reynolds.  In this matchup UNC will have the size advantage.  Because of this, the perimeter shooting for Villanova must be on.They are 29.6% from 3 in the tournament.  They will need to shoot closer to 40% if they want to advance.  Defensively they will need to key Ty Lawson out of the paint.  This has not been accomplished by any team in the tournament thus far.

North Carolina has rolled through this year’s field easily going 4-0 ATS on the way.  They are scoring an average of 88.8 points per game.  Villanova’s key to the game is the 3 point shot.  The Tar Heels are holding tournament opponents to 28.4% shooting.  Tyler Hansbrough looks to bounce back from an 8 point outing against Oklahoma which he was in foul trouble in the first half.  UNC has the deeper team and will win the bench scoring matchup.

Bottom line is that North Carolina is the best team in the field.  Villanova could give them a good run if they get hot from 3.  If they start lighting it up expect Roy Williams to switch up defenses to pressure the perimeter more.

Last Game Out:

Last game for Villanova (30-7): Win 78-76 vs. Pittsburgh

Last game for North Carolina (32-4): Win 72-60 vs. Oklahoma

Betting Lines:

North Carolina -7

Over/Under 159

Recent Matchups

3/25/05 – North Carolina won 67-66 in the NCAA Tournament

My Final Four FREE PICK for Villanova vs. North Carolina

Pick – North Carolina


Chris Hahn is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. He’s a Wichita State Shockers season tix holder! But don’t hold that against him ok? He flat out loves his college HOOPS! Got a comment? In the mood to run a little smack? Chris wants to hear from you, so comment below!


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Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"



  1. Could North Carolina play any better? I guess we’ll get the answer to that question Monday night. I thought Villanova would have kept this game a bit closer, but once the Tar Heels got the big lead they just never let up.