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Bearkats vs. Bears Free Pick + Preview (Mar. 18)

College basketball Free Preview and gambling prediction including updated point spread and LIVE betting odds for the Sam Houston State Bearkats vs. Baylor Bears Thursday Round 1 South Regional tournament hoops matchup…

Sam Houston St. Bearkats vs. Baylor Bears – Round 1 – South Region College Hoops Gambling

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Sam Houston State (25-7) vs Baylor (25-7) – Thursday, March 18, 2:45 PM ET
Location: New Orleans, LA

NCAA Men’s College Basketball Tournament- First Round
Baylor -11 (-110)
Sam Houston St. +11 (-110)
Over/Under 150
Moneyline: Sam Houston +475, Baylor -650

NCAA Basketball Betting – Bearkats won’t be easy out for Bears

Baylor is a trendy NCAA basketball betting pick to make it to the Final Four, and the third-seeded Bears will begin their journey in the South region on Thursday, when they will face Sam Houston State, who is back in the big dance for the first time since 2003.

The Bearkats won the Southland Conference tournament to punch their ticket to the dance, and they’re an offensive-minded team who pass the ball around until they get a good look. Ashton Mitchell steers an attack led by Gilberto Clavell and Corey Allmond, but anyone can get in on the action as the Bearkats lead the nation in assists.

They’re not a big team, and that will be definitely magnified against Baylor, but they get on the boards, coming in 39th in rebounding. But for all of their offense, it’s defense that may advance the Bearkats in this 2010 March Madness bracket.

Sam Houston State has given up 26.7 more points in their seven losses than they have in their 25 wins.

The Bears were knocked out of the Big 12 semifinals by Kansas State, but they were still rewarded with a solid seed.

LaceDarius Dunn and Tweety Carter are as solid a guard duo as you’ll find in the country, although they sometimes struggle with turnovers.

But the trump card for the Bears is Ekpe Udoh, who has proved to be a capable offensive player to go along with his tremendous abilities on the defensive end of the court. Udoh is fifth in the nation in blocks, but he’s scored at least 17 points in four of his last five games.

The Bears are favored by 11 points according to sportsbook odds (US sportsbook review), and these two actually have played each other quite a few times, nine to be exact.

The Bears have won six of those nine, but the Bearkats have won the last two, and the Bears will be wary of them. Their best chance lies with Udoh and the underrated Quincy Acy in the post, as the Bearkats don’t have the size to compete with Baylor in the lane and on the glass.

But the Bearkats are a three-point shooting team anyway, so that will press Dunn and Carter into action on the defensive end.

The Bears usually play a zone, but that may play into the Bearkats’ hands, so expect man defense from Baylor. This will be an exciting game, but Baylor’s size will prove to be the key. Also, they’ve covered their last four games as a favorite of eight or more points.

Betting Trends:

Over is 6-2 in Bearkats last 8 games as an underdog
Over is 5-2 in Bearkats last 7 non-conference games
Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 overall
Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5
Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite
Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 non-conference games
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games following a ATS loss

Bearkats vs. Bears Free Pick:
Bet college basketball: Baylor -11

2010 Bracketology (Click Links Below To View Each March Madness Bracket)

MIDWEST Bracket (St. Louis)
WEST Bracket (Salt Lake City)
EAST Bracket (Syracuse)
SOUTH Bracket (Houston)

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