THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 2010 – Mississippi Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
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Records:
Mississippi: 17-6 SU, 12-6-1 ATS
Mississippi State: 16-7 SU, 10-8 ATS
Tonight, 9:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: Mississippi State -4.5
Behold the power of a state rivalry: the road team has won the last three meetings between Mississippi and Mississippi State. It’s worth noting, however, that the favoured team has won 10 of the last 14 matchups against the spread.
Ole Miss has lost two straight on the road but one of those matchups came against Kentucky; leading scorer Chris Warren has been reliable for the Rebels, notching double-figures in 10 straight. 
Mississippi can score but I’m not sure it’s ready for the stingy Bulldogs. Mississippi State allows the fourth-lowest field goals in the nation and is also a top-10 rebounding team. It lacks a star but has four starters averaging at least 11 points per game Jarvis Varnado is a monster on the boards, averaging 11.3 rebounds per game.
Ole Miss has been inconsistent and faces a team that likes to bully opponents at home. I like Mississippi State to push the Rebels around and cover the reasonable spread.
Gambling Trends:
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Mississippi State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games
Mississippi State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Mississippi
Mississippi is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Mississippi is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
Mississippi is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi’s last 10 games when playing Mississippi State
Pick: Mississippi State -4.5
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Shea Matthews lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national newspapers. He now applies his knowledge to sports betting and handicapping every day, and shares his winning picks with the world.
