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March Madness Betting – Eagles vs. Spiders Free Round 2 Pick

2011 NCAA Tournament Predictions – Morehead St. Eagles vs Richmond Spiders Preview

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#13 Morehead State vs. #12 Richmond
NCAA TOURNAMENT BRACKET – SOUTHWEST REGION
Date/Time: Saturday, March 19, 5:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
Broadcast: CBS
Morehead State Eagles vs. Richmond Spiders Betting Lines from Sportsbook.com
Money Line: Morehead State +160, Richmond -180
Spread: Richmond -4
Over/Under: 126

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Morehead State Eagles (25-9)

One thing’s for certain: we’ll have a bona fide Cinderella on our hands no matter who wins between Morehead State and Richmond, as either a No. 12 seed or a No. 13 seed will be Sweet 16-bound. The sentimental pick could be Morehead State. Many pundits predicted Richmond’s win over Vanderbilt but few expected Morehead State to upset Louisville.

Morehead State’s 62-61 triumph over the Cardinals, capped by a late Demonte Harper three-ball, wasn’t the prettiest effort. Harper made the big three but missed his other five attempts; Kenneth Faried grabbed 17 boards but was 4 of 17 from the floor. Terrance Hill scored 23 points and was 5 of 6 from three-point range but had four turnovers. But everyone did at least something well and Morehead State ground out the win as a result.

Richmond Spiders (28-7)

It almost wasn’t to be, but Richmond rallied from a nine-point second-half deficit to take down Vanderbilt on Thursday. The key for the Spiders was a killer instinct in the long-range shooting game. Richmond attempted 24 long balls and drained half of them. Its three-ball success was no fluke, either; Richmond is sixth in the country at 40.6 per cent from three-point range this season. Online Sports Betting at Sportsbook

The Spiders have been both hot and reliable for bettors of late. They’ve won eight straight games and beaten eight straight spreads. They also showcased a multi-faceted attack with Kevin Anderson, Justin Harper and Francis-Cedric Martel all scoring in double figures in the win over Vandy.

Trends:

Under is 10-1 in MORST last 11 neutral site games.
RICH are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
RICH are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 Sat. games.

The pick:

I think people are too in love with Morehead State after one victory. The Eagles weren’t on many if any top sleeper lists entering the tourney. Richmond was. Morehead State is a far superior rebounding team but I don’t think that matters too much; Richmond prefers to hoist shot after shot from the outside anyway.

Also, Richmond is taking better care of the basketball right now. It had just two turnovers against Vanderbilt; Morehead State coughed up the ball 17 times against Louisville.

I don’t think Morehead State can play that sloppily again and get away with it. I expect the more polished Richmond to shoot its way to the Sweet 16.

Morehead State vs Richmond prediction: Richmond 66, Morehead State 55

Money Line: Richmond -180
Spread: Richmond -4
Over/Under: UNDER 126

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About Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.


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