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Hornets vs. Nuggets Free NBA Pick

New Orleans Hornets at Denver Nuggets NBA Odds

The New Orleans Hornets (8-5 SU, 4-8-1 ATS) will look to extend their winning streak to four games on Thanksgiving night when they face off against the revitalized Denver Nuggets (10-5 SU, 9-5-1 ATS) in NBA pro basketball sports betting action that is set to tip off at 10:30 PM ET at the Pepsi Center in Denver.

BetUS NBA Basketball Sports Betting Odds: DENVER -2, Total 196.5

Here are some of the NBA pro basketball sports betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* NO is 2-7-1 ATS in its last ten games
* NO has played seven of its last ten games UNDER the total
* NO has won four of its last six road games SU
* NO has played three of its last four road games UNDER the total
* DEN has won nine of its last 11 games SU
* DEN has won its last five home games SU
* DEN is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games

Also….

* NO has covered five of the last seven meetings
* NO has covered four of the last five meetings as the road team
* The last three meetings in Denver have gone UNDER the total
* NO has had the rebounding edge in five of the last eight meetings
* NO has made more three-pointers in four of the last six meetings

The Hornets, coming from two days off, have now won three games in a row, the latest a 99-87 decision over the Clippers on Monday night, as David West drained 27 points. Chris Paul had 17 assist in that game. Paul, who is averaging 12.2 assists per game, has a ratio of more than four assist for every turnover.

Billups has played ten games for the Nuggets, and he’s clearly making a difference, with 18.6 points a game to go with 6.4 assists. His assist-to-turnover ratio is actually better than Paul’s. And the Nuggets have responded to something of a change in culture, winning nine of the 11 games Billups has been in uniform, and lowering its field goal percentage defense to a shade below 43%. His presence gives Denver something they haven’t had since Andre Miller left town in the Allen Iverson trade, which is a pure point guard who distributes first and shoots second.

The Nuggets got another win last night but did not cover as they were extended by the Clippers before emerging with a 106-105 victory. Billups had seven points but more importantly, dealt out 11 assists. Carmelo Anthony had 30 points and 11 rebounds and is very comfortable with his status as the unquestioned #1 offensive option on this team. Interestingly enough in that games, Marcus Camby, who the Nuggets had traded in the off-season, had a chance to make the game-winning shot for the Clippers in the final seconds, but missed.

New Orleans has the scheduling advantage here, since they have had the two days off while Denver played last night. But we feel somewhat obligated to ride Denver’s transformation with Billups quarterbacking the club, at least until we see some evidence to the contrary. So it’s the Nuggets, the two-point favorite in the BetUS NBA pro basketball odds.

Our PLAY: DENVER -2 **

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