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Hornets vs. Spurs Preview | Free Pick (Mar. 5)

FRIDAY, MARCH 5, 2010 – New Orleans Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs

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Records:
New Orleans: 31-31 SU, 30-31-1 ATS
San Antonio: 34-24 SU, 27-30-1 ATS

Tonight, 9:35 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: Spurs -8

Every year, the Spurs seem to fiddle around in the first half of the season, conserving their energy before a second-half surge to a division title. This year, they’re taking longer than ever to come around, to the point where a playoff berth is hardly guaranteed. They’re seventh in the West, tied with eight-place Portland and four games up on Memphis. Their opponents tonight, the New Orleans Hornets, sit just five games back.

The conditions are certainly right for a Spurs victory tonight. They haven’t played since Monday; that rest is crucial considering that they’ll now play 15 times over the next 25 days. Not only are they fresher, they really have the Hornets’ number at home. They’ve won 10 of the last 11 meetings at the AT&T Center and even beat the Hornets in New Orleans by 14 points on Monday.

Darren Collison has been a major bright spot for the Hornets in Chris Paul’s absence. The rookie has averaged 22.2 points over his last 12 games did manage 15 assists on Monday against the Spurs.

But the Hornets aren’t playing good defense right now. They’ve lost five of six and they’re allowing 107.6 points per game on 50.5 per cent shooting over that span.

Also, in the head-to-head series, the home team has beaten the spread in 12 of the last 16 contests. The fresher, healthier Spurs look like solid bets tonight.

Gambling Trends:
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans’s last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games
New Orleans is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 6 games
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

Pick: Spurs -8

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Shea Matthews lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national newspapers. He now applies his knowledge to sports betting and handicapping every day, and shares his winning picks with the world.

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