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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick

NBA Gambling Online: Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Lines Preview

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Date/Time: Sunday, May 15, 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Oklahoma City Arena in Oklahoma City, OK.
Broadcast: ABC
Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Lines from Bookmaker
Money Line: OKC -300, Memphis +250
Spread: Oklahoma City -6
Over/Under: 191.5

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It all comes down to one game to determine which team will face Dallas in the Western Conference Finals as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Memphis Grizzlies in Game Seven on Sunday afternoon.

If you generally look at playoff history as an indicator of which team will win a Game 7, you’ll need another stat to look at. Memphis is in their first-ever Game 7, while the Thunder haven’t played a seventh and deciding seventh game since 1997, when the franchise was located in Seattle and lost to Houston.

Memphis will look once more to the stellar play of Zach Randolph to be the difference for the Grizzlies. He scored a game-high 30 points and 13 rebounds in Friday’s 95-83 victory in Game 6. For the second time in the series, the Thunder led on the road in Memphis at the half, only to see the gutsy Grizzlies rally to win.

Randolph was one of four Memphis players to score in double figures in that contest. OJ Mayo was inserted into the starting lineup for the first time in this series, and produced 16 points while connecting on two of the five three-point field goals scored by Memphis in the game. Mike Conley scored 11 points and dished out 12 assists, while Tony Allen chipped in 10 points for the winners.

Another key to Memphis winning and forcing a deciding game in this series was the defensive effort against Oklahoma City’s Kevin Durant. The leading scorer during the regular season in the entire NBA was held to just 11 points. He was only 3-for-14 from the field, including a paltry 1-for-9 from three-point range. Considering Durant is averaging 28 points per game during these playoffs might explain why the Thunder failed to close out the series on Friday night.

Russell Westbrook led the Thunder in scoring in Game 6 with 27 points, but he committed five turnovers, and failed to help get Durant the ball in places on the floor where the talented scoring forward likes to get in rhythm. The rebounding line for both teams was even in the sixth game, but Memphis created five more assists and six more steals to help secure victory.

Oklahoma City is averaging 102.8 PPG in these playoffs, which shows just how solid the Memphis defensive effort was in Game 6, as the Grizzlies held the Thunder nearly 20 points below their average point total.

Recent Trends:
MEM are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 Sun. games.
Over is 6-2 in MEM last 8 road games.
MEM are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.
OKC are 7-24 ATS in their last 31 Sun. games.
Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Matt’s Free Prediction: Thunder – This has been a very entertaining series between two young clubs with bright futures. In the end, the home court advantage has been a solid one all season long for the Thunder, and Durant should be back on his game with his effort in a decisive Game 7.

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Matt Martz is a sportswriter for the Bakersfield Californian, the Oregonian, Springfield Republican, Sacramento Bee, and the San Diego Union Tribune. I leave handicapping to the pros. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.

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