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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick

NBA Gambling Online: Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Lines Preview

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Date/Time: Wednesday, May11, 9:35PM ET
Venue: Oklahoma City Arena in Oklahoma City, OK.
Broadcast: TNT
Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Lines from Bookmaker
Money Line: Memphis +235, Oklahoma City -290
Spread: Oklahoma City -6 ½
Over/Under: 197

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Oklahoma City survived triple overtime in Game 3 of the Western Conference semifinals to knot the series at two games apiece. But can Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook carry a young, determined Thunder team to a second consecutive victory at home on Wednesday?

Oklahoma’s 133-123 marathon win on Monday brought back the Thunder’s home-court advantage while also making up for blowing a 16-point lead in Game 3’s loss.

Memphis did a good job defensively denying Durant the ball for much of the fourth quarter and second overtime period, before the NBA’s scoring champion finally took over hitting two shots in the final minute to finally put the game away, finishing with 35 points and 13 rebounds.

Until then, Westbrook picked up the slack, scoring a postseason career-high 40 points on 33 shots as the Thunder rallied to take a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter, only to have Memphis tie it up on a late 3-pointer by Mike Conley in regulation before rookie Greivis Vasquez’s desperation shot from downtown forced a second overtime stanza.

Oklahoma City worked harder than they have in previous games, outmuscling and outscoring Memphis 56-50 in the paint despite the Grizzlies big men Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol combining for 60 points and 37 rebounds. The two just ran out of gas at the end.

Now instead of taking a commanding 3-1 lead with a chance to close out the series at home in Game 6, Memphis will need to win again at the Oklahoma City Arena, a place where they won just once in the regular season and again in Game 1.

This is not unfamiliar territory, though, as the Grizzlies had their chance to close out their first-round series against San Antonio in five games, but the Spurs forced overtime in Game 5 and Memphis eventually lost, 110-103.

Memphis has outscored Oklahoma City 440-438 in the first four games with teams just about even in steals (36-32 Grizzlies), blocks (32-31 Grizzlies), and 3-point shooting (31 percent). The Thunder do hold a small advantage in shooting percentage and as well as from the foul line, but the Grizzlies have snatched 17 more offensive rebounds.

Playing at Oklahoma City is not going to be an easy win for Memphis, especially if the Thunder plays with the same amount of intensity and toughness as they did in Game 4.

Recent Trends:
MEM are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Wed. games.
MEM are 50-21-1 ATS in their last 72 games overall.
OKC are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 Wed. games.
Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Matt’s Free Prediction: Thunder – I think playing at home will give the Thunder an extra boost as they feed off of the home crowd, grabbing an important win to take a 3-2 lead as the teams head back to Memphis.

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Matt Martz is a sportswriter for the Bakersfield Californian, the Oregonian, Springfield Republican, Sacramento Bee, and the San Diego Union Tribune. I leave handicapping to the pros. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.

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