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MLB Betting Report: Today’s Hot & Cold Pitchers

Pitchers Report for Wednesday September 23rd

Freddy Wills

Freddy Wills

A look at the hot and cold pitchers going today. The information you need to know whether it is for fantasy baseball or wagering contests. Another POD loser, I really do not know what has gone wrong, but I am going to make an adjustment and change a few things. I do think I’m very close as my leans as of 11:22pm on Tuesday are 9-3, and one of the losses were the Rays, my POD which I liked the most!

Wednesday is a large card and I’m confident I can come back with a POD winner. There are a total of five hot pitchers, with ERA’s under 3.00 in their last 5, and a total of eight pitchers with ERA’s under 6.00. Yesterday I told you Kuroda gave you the best opportunity to win against the Nationals, and the Dodgers went on and beat the Nationals 14-2. We also took the Royals on the run line for our free mlb pick with +140 juice for a nice hit with another hot starter in Zach Greinke. On the cold side of things I told you Edwin Jackson had the best chance to rebound and he certainly did as the Tigers won 3-1.

Make sure you read below so you know what to do here on Wednesday for your sports betting advice.


Probable Hot Starting Pitchers:

Brian Duensing (Twins)

Making his debut as the best pitcher going on Wednesday Duensing has been absolutely on fire. In his last 5 starts he has 3-0 record with a 1.11 ERA in 32.1 IP. Duensing has been very impressive since joining the rotation and has a 27:9 K:BB ratio in 37.1 innings pitched as a starter over 6 starts. He will be making this third start against the White Sox in his 7th overall start of the year. The first two times he pitched well enough to win in each giving up just 8 hits and 2 ER in 12 innings pitched while striking out 9. However, on the road he has gone just twice at Toronto and Kansas City and has been less effective going 10 innings giving up 12 hits, and 5 ER. He’ll be facing off against another south paw who had dominated at home.

Bet at 5Dimes

Mark Buehrle will make the start against the Twins and will probably be Brian Duensing’s biggest obstacle on Wednesday night. Buehrle will be making his 6th start against the Twins and although he has struggled at time this year during his 5 starts he has been dominant in his two home starts going 13.1 IP giving up 10 hits 2 ER and 0 BB’s. However, the Twins have been playing championship baseball winning again on Tuesday. They just seem to have that grit that you need down the stretch to stay in a pennant race. They are however, 13-38 in their last 51 road games vs. LH starter so for me I would not touch them in this situation which will have a sports betting line around even juice.

If you want my recommendation I’d lay off this game it seems like White Sox have the edge with a veteran pitcher where the White Sox are 10-2 in his last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record, but the Sox are also 1-4 in their last 5 vs. LH starter and they haven’t been exactly scoring runs as of late.

Notables – Last 5 Starts!

Homer Bailey (2-1, 1.36 WHIP, 1.95 ERA)
Cole Hamels (3-1, 0.96 WHIP, 1.43 ERA)
Tim Stauffer (3-1, 1.54 WHIP, 2.96 ERA)
Scott Kazmir (1-1, 0.96 WHIP, 1.44 ERA)

Most likely to sustain and win:

Cole Hamels

Probable Cold Starting Pitchers:

Scott Richmond (Blue Jays)

Mr. Richmond was on this list last time as he has a 0-3 record with a 111.28 ERA and 2.19 WHIP in his last 5 starts. So I wonder what kind of performance he came up with in his last start a 2 inning game giving up 7 hits and 5 ER @ TB. The one thing he has going for him is pitching at home tomorrow where he has a significantly lower ERA at 4.58 compared to his 5.99 road ERA.

He also has pitched well against the Orioles going 7 innings and giving up 2 ER in a May start. However, take note that this was when he was pitching well and his arm was fresh. His ERA before the All Star break was 3.69 and since he has a 8.92 ERA. I’m not even quite sure why the Blue Jays keep putting this poor guy out there. He’s given up 5 ER or more in each of his last 5 starts. Consistency is not always good and in this situation it’s not!

Notables – Last 5 Starts!

Chad Billingslea (0-3, 1.90 WHIP, 6.35 ERA)
Rich Detwiler (0-3, 2.12 WHIP, 7.91 ERA)
Mike Pelfrey (1-3, 1.70 WHIP, 7.04 ERA)
Bud Norris (1-3, 1.70 WHIP, 6.00 ERA)
Luke Hochevar (1-4, 1.53 WHIP, 6.44 EAR)
Clayton Mortenson (2-2, 1.55 WHIP, 6.14 ERA)

Most likely to rebound: Chad Billingslea

Comments As Always Are Welcome Below…


Freddy Wills uses a betting philosophy that is backed by betting on an underdog that has a legitimate shot at winning the game outright. Although this varies from sport to sport, HE NEVER – EVER FORCES PLAYS!!!!



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