Pirates vs Brewers Preview – MLB Odds
On the season the Pirates have an Over/Under record of 17-16 and a run-line W/L record of 16-22 and the Brewers have an Over/Under record of 18-20 and a run-line W/L record of 21-18.
Pittsburgh Pirates (16-22) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (25-14)
Venue/ Stadium: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Time/Date: 8:10 PM EST Wednesday, May 14, 2014
MLB Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Pirates +105 / Brewers -125
Over/Under: 7.5 runs
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This season the Brewers are 13-9 at home and the Pirates are 4-11 on the road.
In yesterday’s game the Brewers beat the Pirates 5-2.
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The Brewers have dominated the Pirates on the season going 7-1 against them and they are the betting favorite tonight.
The Brewers are tied with the Giants for the most wins in the NL and they are in first place in the NL Central with a 8.5 game lead over the 4th place Pirates.
Wily Peralta (4-2, 2.17 ERA) gets the start tonight for the Brewers and in his last start he gave up 2 earned runs in 6 innings of work in a loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Peralta has not got much help from his offense as of late only getting 3 runs of support in his last 3 starts where he has a solid ERA of 2.14.
The Brewers are 6-2 in Peralta’s last 8 home starts.
Francisco Liriano (0-3 4.64 ERA) gets the starting nod for the Pirates and in his last outing he went 5 innings and gave up 3 earned runs in a no decision facing the St. Louis Cardinals.
Liriano is 0-4 with a 4.38 ERA in his last 11 starts and 0-3 in his last 4 road starts with an ERA of almost 5.00.
While Liriano does not have a win this season, and for a while for that matter, the Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games when he has gotten the start. They are also 6-2 in his last 8 starts when Pittsburgh is the betting underdog.
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Liriano is 0-4 in his last 4 starts at Milwaukee with an ERA of 9.68.
Carlos Gomez is likely suspended for tonight’s game and he has the most HR for the Brewers this season and ranks tied for first in RBI.
While the Brewers have a solid offense ranking 5th in the Majors in runs scored the Pirates only rank 23rd.
Betting Trends
The Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a loss, 5-11 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record, and in their last 11 games they have an Over record of 7-2-2.
The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a favorite, 16-7 in their last 23 games following a win, and in their last 4 games they have an Over record of 3-0-1.
In the last 5 games between these 2 division rivals the Over record of 3-1-1.
Jason’s Pick:
Over the last several seasons the Brewers are 50-11 in their last 61 home games against the Pirates and that trend will continue. Take Milwaukee to win Game 2 of this series.
