Friday MLB Baseball Picks: Red Sox vs Yankees
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MLB Betting – Red Sox vs Yankees Preview & Pick
Date: Friday, May 13, 2011
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: NESN, YES
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Betting Lines from BetOnline.com
Money Line: Yankees -110
Over/Under: 9.5
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Boston Red Sox (17-20)
Clay Buchholz (3-3, 4.19)
Every time the maddening Boston Red Sox take a step forward, they take a step backward. They followed up a three-game losing streak last week by beating the Twins three straight times. Then, the Toronto Blue Jays took them down twice in a row on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Interestingly enough, the Red Sox bats are starting to heat up just as the arms are looking like question marks. Adrian Gonzalez in particular is exploding. The key offseason acquisition has six homers in his last nine games. Even Carl Crawford is showing signs of life, raising his averaging from .155 to .218 in 11 games this month.
But the pitching staff has been a rollercoaster; Boston was supposed to have one of the American League’s top rotations but its team ERA is in the bottom third of the league. Clay Buchholz has been partially responsible for Boston’s struggles – he was 1-3 with a 5.33 ERA in April – but he’s coming around with a 1.54 ERA and two victories in two May starts.
New York Yankees (20-13 through May 10)
Bartolo Colon (2-1, 3.86)
That the New York Yankees have the American League’s top offense comes as no surprise. Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira, Robinson Cano, Curtis Granderson – you get the picture. They can mash. The bigger surprise has been the team’s competent pitching.
The arms were supposed to be the Yankees’ Achilles heel. Their staff hasn’t been perfect but two of their seemingly laughable stopgaps, washed-up Freddy Garcia and Bartolo Colon, have been surprisingly competent.
Well, Colon was for a month. In May, he’s been torched for eight runs and four homers in 11.1 innings over his last two outings.
MLB Trends:
Over is 17-5-5 in BOS last 27 Fri. games.
BOS are 16-6 in Buchholzs last 22 road starts.
BOS are 31-15 in Buchholzs last 46 starts.
Under is 11-4-3 in NYY last 18 overall.
Under is 11-4-3 in NYY last 18 on grass.
NYY are 108-49 in their last 157 home games.
Over is 18-7-2 in the last 27 meetings.
BOS are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in New York.
The pick:
Colon has been better at home than away, and Buchholz doesn’t have a great history against the Yankees, but I still like Boston on Friday night. Lefthanded hitters are batting .311 off Colon this season; that’s music to the streaking Gonzalez and Crawford’s ears. Also, the guy with the most hits off Buchholz, Robinson Cano (.529 career), may not play after getting beaned in the head on Wednesday night.
The Red Sox are the educated pick.
Red Sox vs Yankees prediction: Red Sox 7, Yankees 4
One reply on “MLB Betting – Boston vs. N.Y. Preview & Pick”
Colon has had his best season so far since leaving the Angels. Still I don’t think he can go the distance.