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MLB Betting – Arizona vs. San Francisco Preview & Pick

Shea weighs in with his MLB Free Pick for Friday. It’s the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants matching up at AT&T Park. The Giants are currently 155-moneyline favorites…

MLB Betting – Diamondbacks vs Giants Preview & Pick

Things are getting serious in the National League West. Through Monday, the Arizona Diamondbacks a had won three straight and seven of nine while the San Francisco Giants had lost three straight, seeing their lead shrink to one game.

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Bet On Baseball – D-Backs vs Giants Preview & Pick
Date: Wednesday, August 3, 2011
Venue: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
Broadcast: CSBA
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants Betting Lines from Sportsbook.com
Money Line: Giants -155
Over/Under: 7.5
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Arizona Diamondbacks (60-49 through August 1)
Jason Marquis (8-5, 3.95)

Can the D-backs keep their foot on the gas Wednesday afternoon? Jason Marquis will make his team debut after Arizona acquired him from the Washington Nationals before the trade deadline.

Somehow, Marquis manages to keep finding work and winning games. He’s a pretty mediocre pitcher but his walk and homer rates aren’t awful and he’s turned out six quality starts in his last 10 outings.

Marquis also has a 2.47 ERA against the Giants for his career.

San Francisco Giants (61-48 through August 1)
Ryan Vogelsong (8-1, 2.23)

Can the Giants hold onto their lead in the West with the D-backs charging hard? Ryan Vogelsong gets the nod on Wednesday. He still hasn’t turned into a pumpkin, losing just once in 17 starts this season and remaining part of the NL Cy Young discussion. Still, he’s been a bit lucky, as his .271 opponents’ batting average on balls in play suggests. [dfads params=’groups=10&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]

Knowing that Vogelsong’s luck could turn at any moment, the Giants have to start scoring runs in a hurry. Their 28th-ranked offense hasn’t topped four runs in 11 games.

New arrival Carlos Beltran is batting just .190 over 21 at-bats since coming over from the Mets in a deadline deal.

MLB Trends

Over is 10-1 in ARI last 11 overall.
Over is 10-1 in ARI last 11 on grass.
Over is 19-7-2 in ARI last 28 road games.
Over is 7-2 in SF last 9 vs. National League West.
SF are 9-3 in their last 12 Wed. games.
Under is 29-12-1 in SF last 42 home games.
ARI are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings.
Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.

MLB Free pick:

The D-Backs are swinging the bats well lately and rank fourth in the majors in homers. Also considering that Marquis is pitched so well against the Giants, I’m not sure that San Fran will score enough to keep pace.

Another X-factor: Arizona’s bullpen looks great right now. J.J. Putz hasn’t missed a beat since he returned from the DL and assumed the closer’s reins; he has another great setup man to join David Hernandez in Brad Ziegler, whom Arizona acquired at the trade deadline. If the game is close, ’Zona’s lights-out pen could be a difference-maker.

Diamondbacks vs Giants prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Giants 2

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By Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.