Saturday MLB Baseball Picks: Brewers vs Cardinals
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MLB Betting – Brewers vs Cardinals Preview & Pick
Date: Saturday, May 7, 2011
Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Broadcast: FSWI, FSMW
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Lines from Betonline.com
Money Line: Cardinals -125
Over/Under: 8.5 -120
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Milwaukee Brewers (13-18 through May 5)
Yovani Gallardo (2-2, 6.10)
Few teams have us scratching our heads like the Milwaukee Brewers this season. Oddsmakers had them with the fourth-best chances to win the World Series at the start of the season but, here they are, five games under .500 and mired in a six-game losing streak through Thursday night’s action.
During the six-game skid, Milwaukee has scored more than two runs in a game just once. Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder have posted massive power numbers but, unlike last season, the rest of their lineup hasn’t supported them.
The offensive slump comes at a bad time because the top of Milwaukee’s rotation hasn’t figured itself out yet. Zack Greinke returned from the DL this week and Yovani Gallardo, who will start at St. Louis Saturday, has been a train wreck. He’s allowed four-plus runs in five straight starts and hasn’t pitched more than six innings in an outing over that period.
St. Louis Cardinals (18-14 through May 5)
Kyle Lohse (4-1, 2.44)
If the Brewers are the NL’s biggest disappointment, are the Cards the Senior Circuit’s most pleasant surprise? Many bettors and pundits wrote them off after they lost Adam Wainwright to Tommy John Surgery. But pitching coach Dave Duncan has gotten the most out of his motley crew of starters. Kyle Lohse takes a 2.44 ERA into his Saturday matchup with Milwaukee.
It’ll be interesting to see if Lohse can keep his hot play going against a team that has traditionally owned him. In 82.1 innings over 16 appearances against the Brew Crew, Lohse is 3-6 with a 5.36 ERA and 11 homers allowed in 82.1 innings.
MLB Trends:
MIL are 5-16 in their last 21 road games.
Under is 6-2 in MIL last 8 Sat. games.
Over is 6-2 in STL last 8 games following a win.
STL are 3-8 in their last 11 Sat. games.
Over is 7-3-1 in STL last 11 Sat. games.
MIL are 18-8 in the last 26 meetings in St. Louis.
The pick:
The Brewers will snap out of their funk eventually but I don’t think Saturday is the day. Their offense is slumping and Lohse’s poor track record against them is deceiving. He’s allowed 11 homers to Milwaukee, yeah, but Braun is the only current Brewer starter to hit one of those homers.
Also, while Gallardo will sort himself out eventually, he’s facing a Cardinals lineup that leads the majors in runs, average and OPS. Lance Berkman and Matt Holliday are absolutely demolishing the opposition. And then there’s that Pujols guy. Pick St. Louis.
Brewers vs Cardinals prediction: Cardinals 6, Brewers 3
