World Series Betting: Rangers vs Giants Game 1 Preview & Pick
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It certainly wasn’t the matchup everyone expected. No Yankees or Phillies in the World Series? But maybe that’s not a bad thing. We’ll get to see two fresh teams compete for glory, including a team that has never played in the Fall Classic before. Who has the edge in Game 1’s hot pitching matchup?
2010 WORLD SERIES: Texas Rangers at San Francisco Giants
Game 1: Wednesday, October 27, 7:57 p.m. ET
Cliff Lee (3-0, 0.75) vs Tim Lincecum (2-1, 1.93)
MLB odds: Rangers -123, Giants +113
That’s not a misprint. The Giants will start Tim Lincecum at home in Game 1 – and are underdogs.
Cliff Lee has just been that good. In every game preview involving a Lee start that I’ve written in these playoffs, I keep rhyming off his ridiculous stats. I’ll do it again – and the numbers keep getting better.
In the 2010 playoffs, Lee has won all three of his starts. In those starts, he allowed one, one and zero runs. He has one walk, two earned runs, one homer allowed and 34 strikeouts in 24 innings over that span. He’s struck out at least 10 batters n all three of his starts.
In Cliff Lee’s playoff career, he’s now 7-0 with a 1.26 ERA, three complete games and 67 strikeouts in 64 innings. Simply ridiculous. Wait – maybe Cliff Lee’s kryptonite is a bad history against San Francisco, just like Roy Halladay had? Nope. Lee is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA against the Giants in his career. 
You can dig and dig and it’s almost impossible to find a stat that favors San Francisco in Game 1. I did discover, however, that Juan Uribe has two dingers and seven RBI in 37 career at-bats against Lee. Also, NLCS MVP Cody Ross has two career at-bats against Lee and one hit – a grand slam. It came in 2003 when Lee was a rookie.
Tim Lincecum has been mostly outstanding for the Giants in these playoffs. He dominated the Braves and held the Phillies to six runs, five earned, while striking them out 15 times in 14 innings. Lincecum has never faced the Texas Rangers in his career; the few Rangers with a history against him have an ugly history. Jorge Cantu is hitless and Jeff Francoeur bats .188 with a homer in 16 at-bats. Vlad Guerrero got a hit off Lincecum the one time he faced him.
In theory, the righty-laden Texas lineup could have trouble with a power righthander like Lincecum but, in reality, Texas has mashed right-handed pitching in the 2010 playoffs. Nelson Cruz is batting .370 with four homers and seven RBI against righties; Bengie Molina hits .333 with a homer and five RBI against them; Ian Kinsler bats .333 with three homers and eight RBI against them.
The Rangers and Giants are evenly matched on paper but I can’t justify betting against Texas tonight. Don’t get cute and overthink a bet on Cliff Lee because he’s due to lay an egg. Keep riding this train until it derails – if it ever does.
World Series Betting Trends:
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of San Francisco’s last 20 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas’s last 6 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Pick: Rangers -123
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