MLB Playoff Betting – Braves vs Giants Game 2 Preview & Pick
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From Cliff Lee to, of course, Roy Halladay, pitchers have ruled the 2010 postseason so far, yanking games below the MLB betting run totals. Tim Lincecum was no exception in Game 1 of the NLDS between Atlanta and his San Francisco Giants on Thursday night. He threw a complete-game, two-hit shutout and set a Giants’ playoff record with 14 strikeouts.
Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants
Game 2: Tonight, 9:37 p.m. ET
Tommy Hanson (10-11, 3.33) vs Matt Cain (13-11, 3.14)
MLB odds: Braves +135, Giants -145
Entering Game 2, the Braves ask themselves exactly what the Rays and Reds are asking: can we score?
The tough part about facing Giants is that they seemingly send an ace-caliber pitcher to the hill every single night. The Braves couldn’t solve Tim Lincecum in Game 1 and face Matt Cain, who was arguably better than Lincecum in the 2010 regular season, in Game 2.
Cain has consistently been a hard-luck loser in his career, going 57-62 despite his excellent 3.45 ERA, but the wins have finally started coming over the last two seasons. In 2010, he’s been especially dominant at home, going 8-4 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.01 WHIP and AT&T Park. 
Cain has been just average against the Braves in his career, posting a 4.03 ERA over five starts. He also struggled mightily in a crucial game against San Diego last week, getting rocked for six runs and allowing three homers in four innings. But none of the current Braves regulars has a noticeably good track record against him. Brian McCann is a .250 hitter versus Cain; Derek Lee hits .263 off him; Jason Heyward has only faced him twice; and Alex Gonzalez is 0 for 9.
Tonight will mark Cain’s playoff debut and the same goes for Tommy Hanson, Atlanta’s super sophomore starter. The fireballing righty enters the playoffs on a nice hot streak, having allowed one earned run in 18.2 innings over his last three starts. His sample size against the Braves is small but good: two starts, 2.57 ERA, 14 innings, 14 strikeouts.
This is a tough game to call. We have two good righties facing relatively punchless lineups. I would thus expect another low scoring affair. As for picking a victor, I’ll go with the Braves.
The reason: Tommy Hanson is clutch. I went back and reviewed his recent “big game” history. Against the mighty Phillies in a crucial start last week, he tossed five scoreless innings. At Philadelphia two weeks earlier: six scoreless innings. Against the Giants on August 6: one earned run in seven innings. It seems every time Hanson enters a pressure situation, he delivers.
Bet on the Braves to even up the series tonight.
NLDS Betting Trends:
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Shea Matthews 4-1 ON 2010 MLB PLAYOFF PICKS
Pick: Braves +135
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