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NFL Week 10 Handicapping Tips

NFL Preview & Predictions – Week 10

Last week seven home teams won straight-up. Five home teams and seven road teams won against the spread and there was one push. The total bet heavily favored the ‘over’ as 11 games scored more points than the total line and only two scored less.

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Here is a brief preview and pick for all 14 games in Week 10. All lines are provided by Bookmaker.com

Thursday, Nov. 11

8:20 P.M. Baltimore at Atlanta (-1)
Over/Under: 43

Baltimore is 3-1-2 in its last six games as a road underdog and 3-1-1 ATS in its last five games overall. The total has stayed ‘under’ in nine of the Ravens last 11 games on the road. Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following an ATS loss. The Pick: Baltimore +1 and UNDER.

Sunday, Nov. 14

1:00 P.M. Minnesota (-1) at Chicago
Over/Under: 40

The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four games between these two teams. Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games in Chicago. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of the last nine games of this series and the last four games in Chicago. The Pick: Chicago +1 and OVER

N.Y. Jets (-3) at Cleveland
Over/Under: 37 ½

New York is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road and 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall. Cleveland is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against the AFC. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of the Jets last seven games overall and in five of the Browns last six games overall. The Pick: PUSH and OVER

Carolina at Tampa Bay (-8 ½)
Over/Under: 36

Carolina is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games against the Buccaneers and is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games in Tampa Bay. The Bucs are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of the last six games these two have played in Tampa. The Pick: Carolina +8 ½ and OVER

Tennessee (-1) at Miami
Over/Under: 41 ½

Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC. Miami is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog and 6-2 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS loss. The total has stayed ‘under’ in the last five games these two have played in Miami. The Pick: Miami and UNDER

Cincinnati at Indianapolis (-7)
Over/Under: 47

Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last six games against the Colts and 1-4 ATS in the last five games played in Indianapolis. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of the Bengals last six road games. The Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games between these two teams. The Pick: Indianapolis -7 and OVER

Detroit at Buffalo (-3)
Over/Under: 42 ½

Detroit is 3-1-1 in its last five games as a road underdog and 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall. The total has gone over in the Lions last five games overall. Buffalo is 5-15-1 in its last 21 home games and 2-6 ATS in its last eight games as a home favorite. The Pick: Detroit +3 and OVER

Houston at Jacksonville (-1 ½)
Over/Under: 50

Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games as a road underdog and 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games against the Jaguars. The underdog is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and the total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last seven games played in Jacksonville. The Pick: Houston + 1 ½ and UNDER.

4:05 P.M. Kansas City (-1) at Denver
Over/Under: 42

Kansas City is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following a SU lost and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of the Chiefs last six games as a road favorite. Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last six games as an underdog. The Pick: Kansas City -1 and OVER

St. Louis at San Francisco (-6)
Over/Under: 38 ½

St. Louis is 8-20-2 in its last 30 games against the 49ers and 1-4 ATS in its last five games in San Francisco. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five games between these two.  The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of the last eight games of this series. The Pick: San Francisco -6 and UNDER

Dallas at N.Y. Giants (-14)
Over/Under: 44 ½

Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last six games against the Giants and 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games in New York. The Giants are 4-1 ATS in its last five games against the NFC. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the last five games between these two teams. The Pick: New York -14 and OVER

Seattle at Arizona (-3)
Over/Under: 41

Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last five games against the Cardinals and 0-4 ATS in its last four games in Arizona. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six games between these two teams and the home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine games. The total has gone ‘over’ in the last six games between these two: The Pick: Arizona -3 and OVER

8:20 P.M. New England at Pittsburgh (-3 ½)
Over/Under: 44

New England is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against the Steelers and 5-1 ATS in its last six games played in Pittsburgh. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between these two teams and the road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of their last seven meetings. The Pick: New England + 3 ½ and OVER

Monday, Nov. 15

8:30 P.M. Philadelphia (-3) at Washington
Over/Under: 41 ½

Philadelphia is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games in Washington and the road team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight games between these two teams. The Redskins are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 home games. The total has stayed ‘under’ in nine of their last 14 meetings. The Pick: Philadelphia -3 and UNDER

Bye Week: Green Bay, New Orleans, Oakland, San Diego

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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