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NFL Week 6 Handicapping Tips

NFL Matchups – Week 6

The 2010 NFL season continues to take some unusual twists and turns and after five weeks we are still wondering which teams will separate themselves from the rest of the pack and be considered the elite ones of the league.

The New York Jets and Baltimore Ravens are moving in that direction in the AFC, but the NFC remains wide open. Case in point, the combined record so far for the final four playoff teams from last year; New Orleans, Minnesota, Dallas, and Arizona is just 8-10.

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Maybe Week 6 will begin to provide some clarity, but I would not count on it.

The following is a brief look at each matchup in Week 6 along with the current pointspread as supplied by Bookmaker.com.

Sunday, Oct. 17

1:00 P.M. Seattle at Chicago (-7)
Over/Under: 37

RB Marshawn Lynch, who was recently acquired in a trade with Buffalo, will be counted on right away to help improve Seattle’s 29th ranked rushing offense. Chicago is hoping to have Jay Cutler back for this game after his replacement, Todd Collins threw four interceptions in the Bears 23-6 win over Carolina.

Miami at Green Bay (OFF)
Over/Under: OFF

Miami ‘s offense is ranked 13th in average yards per game with 339.5 per game but ranked 28th in points per game with 16.5. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers remains questionable for this game after sustaining a concussion in Sunday’s 16-13 OT loss to Washington.

Kansas City at Houston (-5)
Over/Under: 45

Kansas City QB Matt Cassel has completed 58-of-106 attempts for 650 yards in his first four games. Houston QB Matt Schaub has completed 102-of-164 attempts for 1233 yards in his first five games.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh (-14.5)
Over/Under: 37.5

Cleveland rookie QB Colt McCoy might get his first NFL start if Senaca Wallace and Jake Delhomme are not ready to go by Sunday. Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger will get his first start of the season after serving a four game suspension for violating the NFL’s personal conduct policy.

New Orleans (-5) at Tampa Bay
Over/Under: 44.5

New Orleans QB Drew Brees has thrown five interceptions in his first five games after throwing just 11 all last season. Tampa Bay at 3-1 has already matched its win total from 2009 and would open up a 1 ½ game lead in over the Saints in the NFC South with a win.

Detroit at N.Y. Giants (-10.5)
Over/Under: 44.5

Detroit’s 44-6 win over St. Louis was its largest margin of victory in 15 years. New York’s defense has 13 sacks, four forced fumbles, one interception, and has given up 13 points in its last two games.

Atlanta at Philadelphia (-3)
Over/Under: 41.5

Atlanta, at 4-1 is currently the front-runner to emerge as the top team in the NFC. The Falcons offense is ranked seventh and their defense is ranked 10th. Michael Vick is still questionable for this game, but Philadelphia’s injury situation runs much deeper than just the quarterback position.

San Diego (8.5) at St. Louis
Over/Under: 45

San Diego QB Philip Rivers threw for 431 yards and two TD’s, but the Chargers ground game was held to 73 yards in a rare 35-27 loss to Oakland last week. St. Louis WR Mark Clayton was lost for the season after tearing his patellar tendon in the Rams 44-6 loss to the Lions on Sunday.

Baltimore at New England (-3)
Over/Under: 44 .5

Baltimore QB Joe Flacco has only completed 57 percent of his passes through the first five games of this season. New England traded its fourth round pick in next year’s draft to Seattle to reacquire WR Deion Branch in hopes he can help fill the void created by the departure of Randy Moss.

4:05 P.M. Oakland at San Francisco (6.5)
Over/Under: 40.5

Oakland Head Coach Tom Cable is committed to QB Bruce Gradkowski as his starter has long as he is healthy enough to play. San Francisco Head Coach Mike Singletary indicated that he is sticking with Alex Smith as his starting quarterback.

N.Y. Jets (-3.5) at Denver
Over/Under: 40

New York moved to the top of the AFC East at 4-1 with an impressive 29-20 win over Minnesota on Monday night. Denver QB Kyle Orton continues to light things up with his arm, throwing for 1733 yards in five games, but his team is 2-3 and was blown out in two of its last three games.

Dallas at Minnesota (-1.5)
Over/Under: 43.5

Without a doubt this is the most intriguing matchup on the schedule this week as the loser falls to 1-4 on the year and in serious trouble moving forward. This one could come down to which quarterback does the best job taking care of the ball; Tony Romo for Dallas or Brett Favre for Minnesota.

8:20 P.M. Indianapolis (-3) at Washington
Over/Under: 43.5

Indianapolis’s passing game is ranked third in the league, averaging 317.2 yards per game but its running game is ranked 28th. Washington’s run defense has been decent and is ranked 19th in the league, but their pass defense is giving up an average of 298 yards per game, ranking it 30th.

Monday, Oct. 18

8:30 P.M. Tennessee (-3) at Jacksonville
Over/Under: 44.5

Tennessee RB Chris Johnson has run for 485 yards in the Titans first five games, while QB Vince Young has thrown for 684 yards. Jacksonville is 3-2 but its offense is ranked 23rd in the league and its defense is ranked 30th.

Bye Week: Arizona, Buffalo, Carolina, and Cincinnati

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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