2010 NFL Team Odds, Preview, & Predictions- Indianapolis Colts
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Indianapolis Current Odds to Win:
Colts AFC South Odds – 2/3
Colts AFC Championship Lines – 4/1
Colts 2011 Super Bowl Futures – 9/1
Indianapolis Colts Season Over/Under Win Total – 11
With the roster pretty much intact from last year’s team that went 14-2 in the regular season and lost to New Orleans in Super Bowl XLIV 31-17, it is easy to understand why Indianapolis is the odds-on-favorite at 4/1 to represent the AFC once again in this year’s championship game.
For the Colts, their past success revolves primarily around one player; QB Peyton Manning.
Manning is entering his 13th season in the NFL and since 2002 Indianapolis has won 10 or more games in all eight seasons and 12 or more games in seven of them. Last season he threw for 4,500 yards, the second highest season in his career. His 33 TD passes were tied with the 2000 season for second most in his career and his 68.8% completion percentage was his highest ever.
He led an offense that was ranked ninth overall but second in passing yards per game with an average of 282.2 yards.
Another big reason the Colts gained so many yards through the air is the quality of their receivers. WR Reggie Wayne and TE Dallas Clarke each had 100 catches. Wayne ended the season with 1,264 total yards and Clarke had 1,106. Pierre Garcon added another 765 receiving yards and Austin Collie finished with 676.
One potential problem that has been brewing the entire offseason is the contract situation with Wayne. While he is looking to renegotiate its current terms, the team has indicated that they have no intention of reworking his deal at this time. It is unclear as to whether he will hold out of training camp when it opens on August 1st.
One thing Indianapolis has been ineffective at is running the ball. Its 80.9 yards per game average was ranked dead last in the league. RB Joseph Addai was the leading rusher with 828 yards but he only averaged 3.8 yards per carry. Rookie Donald Brown added another 281 yards on the ground but he only averaged 3.6 yards per run.
Indianapolis’s defense finished the 2009 season ranked 18th overall. They were ranked 14th against the pass and 24th against the run. This was the primary reason they used six of their eight draft picks on defensive players in an effort to build some much needed depth throughout the lineup.
They selected DE Jerry Hughes in the first round and LB Pat Angerer in the second. Hughes will primarily be used to compliment Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathias on obvious passing downs.
Everything is in place for another deep run in the playoffs for the Colts.
Most of the questions on this team will not be answered until January of next year as they should once again win enough games to capture the South division title and most likely a first round bye in the playoffs.
2010 Prediction: 1st in the AFC South
Win Total: Over
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David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.
