Week Fourteen Gambling – New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears
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New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears
Go Inside This Matchup With Our NFL ATS Stats —>
Sunday December 12 – 4:15PM
Soldier Field – Chicago, Illinois
Broadcast: CBS
New England (10-2) -175 vs Chicago (9-3) +155 (Odds courtesy of BetUS)
Spread Favourite: New England -3
Over/Under: 43.5
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New England
After dismantling the New York Jets the Patriots are alone at the top of the AFC for the time being. If they want to stay there they will have to win this week in what should be the toughest remaining game on their schedule. They are on a 4 game winning streak and last week demonstrated just how dominant they can be.
Since Tom Brady became a star the Patriots have been one of the most balanced teams in the league. In any given game they could bury you with offense or stomp on you with their defense. This year things are much different. The Pats are first in scoring at 31ppg but they are 31st in yards allowed. Their scoring defense is better at 18th (22ppg) but their performance against the Jets may be an indicator that they are getting things straightened out on that side of the ball. If so look out. 
The Pats only two losses of the season have been on the road so if Chicago backers want to point to anything perhaps that is it. New England is 4-2 ATS on the road as well so basically when they win they cover and when they don’t they don’t. With the spread at -3 that will probably be the case in this one as well.
Chicago
No matter how much I think they won’t the Bears just keep on winning. They have won five in a row since their bye week and currently sit second in the conference behind Atlanta. They have the toughest final four games of just about any team starting with hosting New England this week, visits to Green Bay and Minnesota and a home date with the Jets. They are looking strong to make the playoffs but they need to keep playing well down the stretch.
Speaking of playing well Jay Cutler has been very good the past two weeks posting passer ratings over 100 the past two weeks. When he doesn’t turn the ball over and is patient he can be very good and the way the defense has been playing he doesn’t have to do toomuch. This week there is going to be more pressure as the Pats are unlikely to be held below the 20ppg the Bears have been averaging this season.
Even though the Bears are surprising with their 9-3 record they are not making “investors” much money with with their poor 6-5-1 ATS record. However, they have been a good bet when they are short dogs like they are this week. The Bears are 4-0 ATS as an underdog of three or less points this season.
The Pick: I was very surprised to see the spread so small for the Pats this week. At only -3 I don’t see how you can not back a team which is playing like the best in the NFL
NFL Gambling Trends
Patriots are 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Patriots are 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Score Prediction: New England 28 – Chicago 21
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