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With NCAA football betting times just a couple days away, Cappers Picks NCAAF handicappers have been hard at work putting out the team by team NCAA Football Season Predictions & Previews for those of us who can’t wait. Bet on the 2011 BCS winner, plus 2011 Conference winners.

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By all accounts the University of Hawaii will have a decent team this season. There’s not enough talent to even begin thinking about winning the WAC, but the receivers are terrific and the secondary is strong enough to cover up for some deficiencies in the front 7.

The Warriors should be able to move the ball, and scoring in the 30s should be a regular occurrence.

Seven or eight wins and a bowl appearance are not out of the question.

But despite the prospects for a decent season, the Warriors are a solid 21-point underdog – at home, no less – for their opener Thursday (Sept. 2) against a USC team that is reeling from scandal and graduations, and is dealing with a new head coach, Lane Kiffin, who brings a ton of baggage to the West Coast.

And that’s just the start of an ocean full of huge spreads that typify college football betting, especially early in the season. Florida gives 35 to Miami of Ohio, Rice gets 29 at Texas, Oregon gives 33 to New Mexico.

Oklahoma (-32 vs. Utah State), Nebraska (-36.5 vs. Western Kentucky) and Auburn (-31 vs. Arkansas State) will be feeding at the trough against weak opponents.

No. 1-ranked Alabama gives a fat 38.5 to visiting San Jose State as big-time college football goes through its own version of the pre-season. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Lines are heavy for a variety of reasons, not the least of which is the huge talent disparity between sad-sack programs looking for a quick financial boost to its program and fat cats who are scared to death to take an early-season loss that would knock them to the far reaches or completely out of the Top10/25 and depress recruiting in the process.

The chances of any upsets involving teams mentioned in the previous paragraph are remote at best.

But (and it’s a big but) . . .  history tells us that there is value in taking the points and holding your breath as favorites march up and down the field. One survey indicated that over a 10-year period double-digit underdogs covered the spread 65 percent of the time.

Lines are set based at least partly on public perception, and while sharps will gladly take Western Kentucky and 36.5, recreational bettors who wager with their heart see only Nebraska and overwhelmingly back the favorite.

Thus, lines that might be a little out of whack by necessity.

As the season heads into its later stages, some handicappers advise that there may be times to give 10 or more points, especially when a team with tremendous momentum is playing against an opponent that has no chance of going to a bowl.

And finally, if you can find an online book (or better yet, 2 or 3 to comparison shop), halftime wagering offers a great opportunity. Books can’t possibly see every game, and set the halftime line based on the full-game number, seasoned a bit by how the first half has gone.

Bettors who can hone in on one game and factor in who is hurt, which line is dominating, which Heisman candidate needs to pad stats, etc., can gain an edge over the book.

Ready to start College Football Gambling Online today?

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Lawrence Paul is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog, and is a free-lance gambling and travel writer from Massachusetts.


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About Lawrence Paul

Lawrence Paul is back in the saddle as a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. He's got an AMAZING knack for predicting when a team will have a letdown! Stick with our resident gambling experts sports betting tips all season long!