NFL Game Day Picks: Seahawks to fall to Peyton and the Colts
Seattle Seahawks (+10½) vs. Indianapolis Colts (-10½)
O/U (44)
Sunday, October 4 1:00 PM ET
The Seattle Seahawks (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U) will be looking to avoid a third consecutive loss while the Indianapolis Colts (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U) will try to keep their unblemished record intact when the two teams square off on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium at 1 PM ET.
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The Seahawks lost to the Chicago Bears 25-19 on Sunday, failing to cover the NFL betting odds as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday while the game’s final score played Over the 37.5-point O/U total.
Backup quarterback Seneca Wallace, starting in place of injured starter Matt Hasselbeck, completed 26 of 44 passes for 261 yards with one touchdown and one interception while wideout Nate Burleson caught nine passes for 109 yards in the loss.
The Colts defeated the Arizona Cardinals 31-10 as a 3-point underdog in Week 3 while the game’s 41 combined points played Under the 49-point O/U total.
Peyton Manning completed 24 of 35 passes for 379 yards with four touchdowns and an interception while Reggie Wayne caught seven passes for 126 yards and a touchdown in the win.
Here is a look at this game’s key trends and NFL Betting Odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert NFL Free Picks.
Seahawks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Seahawks are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Colts are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Colts are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Under is 7- 2 in Seahawks last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4- 1 in Colts last 5 games overall.
Under is 4- 1 in Colts last 5 games following a ATS win.
NFL Odds
Seattle Seahawks +10½ -110
Indianapolis Colts -10½ -110
Over 44 -110
Under 44 -110
Analysis: Unless you’re the world’s biggest Seneca Wallace fan, then you likely already know the Seattle Seahawks stand absolutely no chance of beating the Indianapolis Cols and Peyton Manning on the road in this contest.
With starting quarterback Matt Hasselbeck sitting this one out while his fractured rib heals, the Colts should be able to simply outscore a Seattle team that is averaging just 19.0 points per game coming into this contest.
While the Seahawks have gone an encouraging 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss, Seattle has also gone just 2-5-1 ATS against a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record.
The Colts are my pick to cover the high spread in this matchup as they’ve gone a solid 4-1-1 ATS against a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an SU win.
While Indianapolis has gone just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, I think the loss of Hasselbeck will hamper the Seahawks in a big way, allowing the Colts to improve on this dismal ATS wagering statistic.
The Under also looks like the right play for NFL sports betting enthusiasts as it has gone 7- 2 in Seattle’s last nine games against a team with a winning record and 4- 1 in Indy’s last five games overall.
NFL Free Picks: Colts -10½ Points/Under 44 Total Points
