NFL Week 3 Lock Alert – Green Bay vs. St. Louis
Green Bay Packers (-6½) vs. St. Louis Rams (+6½)
O/U 41
Sunday, September 27 1:00 PM ET
The Green Bay Packers (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U) will be looking to bounce back from their first loss of the season while the struggling St. Louis Rams (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS, 0-2 O/U) look to record this first victory under head coach Steve Spagnuolo when the NFC rivals meet at the Edward Jones Dome on Sunday at 1 PM ET.
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The Packers were upended by the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, losing 31-24 and failing to cover the game’s NFL betting odds as a 7.5-point favorite in Week 2 while the game’s 55 total points played well Over the 42-point O/U total.
Blossoming quarterback Aaron Rodgers completed 21 of 39 passes for 261 yards with one touchdown while Donald Driver caught six passes for 99 yards with a TD.
The Rams lost to Washington on Sunday, failing to cover the NFL betting odds 9-7 as a 10-point underdog in Week 2 while the game’s combined score cashed in Under the 37-point O/U total.
Marc Bulger completed 15 of 28 passes for 125 yards with one touchdown while Laurent Robinson caught six passes for 54 yards with a TD and Steven Jackson rushed for 104 yards on 17 carries.
Let’s take a look at the game’s key trends and NFL Betting Odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert NFL Free Picks.
Packers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games.
Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Packers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Rams are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games.
Rams are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following an SU loss.
Rams are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 4- 1 in the last 5 meetings.
NFL Odds
Green Bay Packers -6½ -110
St. Louis Rams +6½ -110
Over 41 -110
Under 41 -110
Analysis: I won’t waste any NFL sports bettor’s time with a lot of mumbo-jumbo concerning this matchup as the Green Bay Packers, even with some apparent issues they need to address – are far and away a better team than the rebuilding St. Louis.
While the Packers are coming off a loss their last time out, they have scored at least 21 points in each of their two games so far while the Rams have struggled to reach the end zone in a big way, getting shut out in their regular season opener 28-0 before scoring just once in their 9-7 loss to Washington.
The Packers have gone a respectable 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite while St. Louis Rams has put up a discouraging 6-15 ATS mark in their last 21 home games while also going a disappointing 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following an SU loss.
The Favorite in this series has gone 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings overall while the Over has gone a near-perfect 4- 1 in the last five meetings.
Take the Packers and the Over BetUS NFL sports betting members.
NFL Free Picks: Packers -6½ Points/Over 41 Total Points
One reply on “Packers vs. Rams Trends + Week 3 Pick”
The Packers are clearly the better team and should get back to their winning ways against a very bad Ram’s team.