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2010 NFL Gambling: Lines | Week 4 Matchups & Predictions

NFL Week 4 Preview & Predictions

For the second week in a row the dogs had their day as 11 teams getting points covered the spread. Eight underdogs won their game outright and of the eight home teams that were getting points, four won their game against the spread. Straight-up the games were once again split right down the middle between home and away, but ATS 11 road teams came away with a win.

The total bet once again slightly favored the ‘over’ as nine games scored more points than the total line and seven scored less.

Here is a brief preview and pick for all 14 games in Week 4. All lines are provided by BetUS.com

Sunday, Oct. 03

1:00 P.M. San Francisco at Atlanta (-6.5)
Over/Under: 42

San Francisco is 8-1-2 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog and 6-0-3 ATS in its last nine games following an ATS loss. Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its last nine homes games and 6-1 ATS in its last seven games overall. The total has stayed ‘under’  in six of the 49ers last nine games and in four of the Falcons last five. The Pick: San Francisco and UNDER

N.Y. Jets (-5) at Buffalo
Over/Under: 37

New York is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games and 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against the AFC. Buffalo is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 home games. The total has stayed ‘under’  in four of the last six games between these two teams. The Pick: New York and UNDER

Cincinnati (-3) at Cleveland
Over/Under: 34.5

Cincinnati is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games as the favorite and 1-4 ATS in its last five games against the AFC. Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC and 5-1 ATS in its last six against the AFC North. In this series, the total has stayed ‘under’ in eight of the last 11 games played in Cleveland. The Pick: Cleveland and UNDER

Detroit at Green Bay (-14.5)
Over/Under: 45.5

Detroit is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games against the NFC and 2-6-2 in its last 10 games on the road. Green Bay is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games overall and 10-4 ATS in its last 14 against the NFC North. In this series, the total has stayed ‘under’  in five of the last seven games played in Green Bay. The Pick: Green Bay and UNDER

Carolina at New Orleans (-13.5)
Over/Under: 45

Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against the NFC South and 9-0 ATS in its last nine games played on the road against the Saints. New Orleans is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against the NFC. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last six games between these two teams. The Pick: Carolina and UNDER

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-1.5)
Over/Under: 34.5

Baltimore is 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine games against the AFC and 0-3-1 in its last four games against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 4-0-1 in its last five games. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of the last six games these two have played in Pittsburgh. The Pick: Pittsburgh and OVER

Denver at Tennessee (-6)
Over/Under: 41.5

Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall and 2-6 ATS in its last eight games as an underdog. Tennessee is 10-4 ATS against a team with a losing record. The total has gone ‘over’ in the Broncos last five road games and in four of the Titans last five home games. The Pick: Tennessee and OVER

Seattle (-1) at St. Louis
Over/Under: 38.5

Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last five games as the favorite and 6-0 ATS in its last six games against the Rams. St. Louis is 7-22 ATS in its last 29 games against the NFC West. The total has gone ‘over’ in three of the last five games played in St. Louis between these two. The Pick: Seattle and OVER

4:05 P.M. Houston (-3.5) at Oakland
Over/Under: 44

Houston is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games. Oakland is 17-39-1 in its last 57 home games. The total has stayed ‘under’  in three of the Texans last five games. The Pick: Houston and UNDER

Indianapolis (-9) at Jacksonville
Over/Under: 46.5

Indianapolis is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 road games and 7-1 ATS in its last eight games as a road favorite. Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last five games as an underdog. In this series, the total has gone ‘over’ in four of the last five games played in Jacksonville. The Pick: Indianapolis and OVER

Arizona at San Diego (-8.5)
Over/Under: 46

Arizona is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. San Diego is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five games overall and 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite. The total has gone ‘over’ in the Chargers last five home games. The Pick: Arizona and OVER

Washington at Philadelphia (-6.5)
Over/Under: 42.5

Washington is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 games against the Eagles. Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in nine of the Eagles last 13 home games. The Pick: Washington and OVER

8:20 P.M. Chicago at N.Y. Giants (-4)
Over/Under: 44.5

Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall. New York is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall. The total has gone ‘over’  in all eight of the Giants previous games against the NFC. The Pick: Chicago and OVER

Monday, Oct. 04

8:30 P.M. New England (-1) at Miami (-1)
Over/Under: 45.5

New England is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC East and 1-4 ATS in its last five games against the Dolphins. Miami is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against the AFC East. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of the Dolphins last nine home games. The Pick: Miami and OVER

Bye Week: Dallas, Kansas City, Minnesota, & Tampa Bay

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


Comments

Comments

  1. You refer to over under totals as 16 games.
    “The total bet once again slightly favored the ‘over’ as nine games scored more points than the total line and seven scored less.”

    no biggy, I thought I had lost a couple of games

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