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Week 16 Bills vs. Broncos NFL Predictions

The Buffalo Bills visit the Denver Broncos who need only to win this game to wrap up the AFC West,at 4:05 PM ET at Invesco Field at Mile High in Denver. We preview and pick this week 16 game…

NFL Sports Betting Buffalo @ Denver

The Buffalo Bills (6-8 SU & ATS) have simply gone into the tank in the AFC East. On Sunday they will try to take a step toward finishing the season at the .500 mark when they visit the Denver Broncos (8-6 SU, 4-9-1 ATS), who need only to win this game to wrap up the AFC West, in NFL pro football online betting action that is slated to kick off at 4:05 PM ET at Invesco Field at Mile High (natural turf) in Denver.  

BetUS NFL betting odds: DENVER -6.5, Total 45

NOTABLE STAT: Broncos are allowing 4.9 yards per rushing attempt
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Denver is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite this season

In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Broncos are listed as a 6.5-point favorite, with a posted total of 45 points.

Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* BUFF has lost seven of its last eight games SU
* BUFF has covered two of its last eight games
* BUFF has lost four of its last five road games SU
* BUFF has played four of its last six road games OVER the total
* DEN is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games
* DEN has won four of its last six games SU
* DEN has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
* DEN has lost its last six home games ATS
* DEN has won seven of its last ten games SU
* DEN has played its last five home games UNDER the total

Also…

* BUFF has covered four of the last six meetings
* DEN has won the last five meetings SU
* Five of the last seven meetings have gone OVER the total

How bad have the Buffalo Bills played? Well, there is no question that anything beyond October has been a huge downer for the Bills, especially as they got out to a 4-0 start and looked like they were ready to take control in the AFC East with the Patriots adjusting to life without Tom Brady. Buffalo has won only twice since. But you could conceivably argue that they could have won the Monday nighter against Cleveland, not to mention a 10-3 loss to San Francisco and last week’s game against the New York Jets, if only they had Trent Edwards in place as the quarterback. But instead, they’ve had to make do with J.P. Losman, who basically gave away last week’s game with a costly fumble with a couple of minutes left.

Losman has been nothing short of a disaster at quarterback for the Bills, since taking over the position when Edwards went out with his groin injury. Against San Francisco in Week 13, he threw for just 93 yards in 17 attempts. He was then 13 for 27 against Miami in another loss, and last week threw three interceptions against the Jets. He has fumbled the ball three times in each of the last two games and has been sacked 10 times in the three-game period.

Marshawn Lynch, however, has been a driving force for this offense, rushing for 134 yards against the Niners and 127 against the Jets. Lynch has gone over 1000 yards for the second straight season, and Denver has had a soft defensive front all year (allowing 4.9 yards per rushing attempt); Buffalo should be able to get its preferred ground option going to some extent. No Buffalo receiver has more than three TD catches and Lee Evans, who’s supposed to help make this unit go, has had 45 combined yards the last two weeks after garnering 110 against the Chiefs and 80 against the Niners.

Jay Cutler (3851 yards, 24 TD’s), who has just been named to the Pro Bowl, has obviously been a much more consistent performer than either of the options Buffalo has used under center. But there hasn’t been smooth sailing for Cutler of late, as he’s had just five TD passes and four INT’s in the last four games. Certainly he has a pair of receivers who measure up to anyone’s (Brandon Marshall has 88 catches, and rookie Eddie Royal has 75). But the running game has been beset by injuries and now Peyton Hillis is out of action. Selvin Young had 19 yards last week, Tatum Bell was brought back from the street to play against Carolina, and P.J. Pope may have emerged as a “go-to” back. If the rushing game doesn’t get moving, that puts a lot of pressure on Cutler, who was sacked three times by the Panthers.

Denver is 0-6 ATS this season as a home favorite. And while we don’t forecast anything magical coming from Losman, if he can take care of the ball any better and prevent the Broncos from closing out this show it would be a miracle. Denver will have some anxiety here, because they definitely don’t want things coming down to the final week against San Diego. They’ll win the game, but we’ll take the points with Buffalo, the 6.5-point favorite in the BetUS NFL odds.

OUR PLAY: BUFFALO +6.5 *

By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"