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Buffalo vs. Dallas Preview & Free Week 10 Pick

On Sunday its the Buffalo Bills vs. Dallas Cowboys. Odds currently have the Cowboys listed as 5.5-point favorite. The over under is set at 46.5…

NFC East Game Previews – Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys

In a battle between two teams in desperate need of a win to keep pace in their division race, the Buffalo Bills and the Dallas Cowboys square-off this Sunday afternoon at Cowboys Stadium.

Date/Time: Sunday, Nov.13   1 p.m. (ET)
Venue: Cowboys Stadium, Arlington. TX
Broadcast: CBS
Bills at Cowboys lines by BetOnline.com
Point spread: Cowboys -5.5
Over/Under: 48

Game time is set for 1 p.m. and it will be broadcast regionally on CBS.

Buffalo is coming off its worst game of the season after getting pushed around the field in a 27-11 loss to the Jets as a 2.5-point home favorite. The loss dropped the Bills to 5-3 straight-up on the year and 4-3-1 against the spread. The total stayed ‘under’ the 45-point line against New York, but the total has ‘over’ in six of their first seven games.

The big question for Buffalo is, was last week just a minor setback, or a sign that its early success was a fluke? The Bills’ offense did disappear last week, but it is still ranked fourth in the league in scoring with an average of 27.8 points a game.

Dallas kept its season alive with a crucial 23-13 victory over Seattle last Sunday as an 11-point home favorite. The win raised its record to 4-4 SU (3-4-1 ATS) to remain two games behind the Giants in the NFC East. The total stayed ‘under’ the 45-point line against the Seahawks and has now stayed ‘under’ in the Cowboys last four games. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Last Sunday’s win did come at a steep price with the loss of wide receiver Miles Austin for the next couple of games after he reinjured his hamstring. The good news is that Dallas may get running back Felix Jones back after missing the last three games with a high ankle sprain.

The Bills are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog and the total has gone ‘over’ in five of their last six games as an underdog on the road.

The Cowboys are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite and the total has gone ‘over’ in eight of their last 11 games as a favorite at home.

Despite both teams troubles putting points on the board, the ‘over’ could be the best play in this game given the past trends. Look for Dallas to get the straight-up win at home, but stick with Buffalo to cover with the 5.5 points.

The Pick: Dallas 28 vs. Buffalo 27

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By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.