NFL Betting – Week 12 Parlay
COLTS (-3.5) over TEXANS
Is this a sucker’s bet? It’s understandable to think so. After all, the Texans only lost by a field goal at Indy earlier this season. The Colts are also coming closer to losing each week, it seems; they’ve won their last four games by a combined 10 points. But to pick Houston here is to ignore the important numbers. The Texans are a not a good defensive football team. They can’t stop the run and Joseph Addai is actually running the hardest he has in two years. They can’t rush the passer – 13 sacks in 10 games – so that gives the phenomenal Peyton Manning all day to throw. The Colts are 14-1 all-time against the Texans. Why should we bet against numbers like those?
BILLS (+3) over DOLPHINS
The Dolphins have surprised us with their 5-5 record after opening the year 0-3 but they have a trap game on their hands this week. Sure, they’re an elite rushing team facing a horrifically bad run defense, but every other factor favors the Bills. Miami has to make a long road trip from its warm confines to chilly Buffalo – never an easy feat. It also has to battle Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch without nose tackle Jason Ferguson, whom it just lost to a torn quad. And what about Terrell Owens? He exploded for 197 yards on nine catches last week – his first game as a Bill without Dick Jauron coaching. Coincidence? Even if it was, I like the Bills’ NFL odds to win this rivalry game.
RAMS (+3) over SEAHAWKS
Grubby week for sportsbook picks, ain’t it? Seems like every game has a three-point spread. While it’s never “safe” to pick St. Louis, the Rams should be the more motivated team this week. Their offense is warming up, though it remains to be seen if Kyle Boller can match injured Marc Bugler’s growing rapport with Brandon Gibson. We know Steven Jackson is a beast even on this horrible team, averaging 103.1 rushing yards per game. We also know Seattle isn’t great against the run and that head coach Jim Mora Jr. plans to reduce linebacker Aaron Curry’s workload for the remainder of the season. Whereas the Rams started the year at rock bottom and are trying to build something, the Seahawks are still dealing with the disappointment of not contending when they thought they would this season. The Rams should simply have more spring in their step.