Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Tech Hokies Gambling Preview + Predictions
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Week 8: Duke vs Virginia Tech Preview & Pick
Date: Saturday, October 23, 2010
Venue: Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA
Broadcast: ESPN GP/ACC Network
Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Tech Hokies Betting Lines from Betus.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: Virginia Tech -26.5
Over/Under: 61
Duke Blue Devils (1-5)
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Let’s not pretend for a second that football is Duke’s “thing.” The Blue Devils are flat-out bad and that’s no surprise. The problems start with their quarterbacking. Sean Renfree brings a gunslinger mentality to the field – he threw 38 passes against Miami last week – but he’s not very good. The Hurricanes picked him off five times in a 28-13 victory, pushing Renfree’s season total to 14 interceptions. All of those picks have come during Duke’s current five-game losing streak. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Duke give freshman Brandon Connette some snaps this week; he ran for a score against Miami in Week 7.
It’s too bad Renfree makes so many poor decisions, as he has a solid group of receivers at his disposal. Conner Vernon, Donovan Varner and Austin Kelly make up three of the top six reception leaders in the ACC.
As if Duke’s offense, which ranks 10th in the ACC in scoring, wasn’t in trouble enough, the Blue Devils have also surrendered the ACC’s most points per game this season: 37.8. Against a Virginia Tech team averaging an ACC-best 36 points per contest, they’ll be tested and then some.
(23) Virginia Tech Hokies (5-2)
In a way, the further the Virginia Tech Hokies soar from their 0-2 start, the more maddening they are. These guys almost beat Boise State in Week one and have been outstanding from Week 3 on. If only the Boise State game went their way and they hadn’t choked against James Madison, they could’ve been BCS contenders by now. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Offense has fuelled Virginia Tech’s five-game winning streak. During that stretch, they’ve won by an average score of 41-21. Tyrod Taylor has taken the team on his shoulders. The shifty quarterback has nine touchdown passes and three rushing touchdowns this year.
How dominant was Virginia Tech last week? It scored touchdowns on seven of its first eight possessions against Wake Forest and dropped 49 points in the first half. Wow.
The pick:
First, check off the OVER for this game. Virginia Tech is scoring a ton and the trend shouldn’t stop with another home game against a sieve-like defense this week. Also, the Hokies have allowed the second most passing yards in the ACC. Renfree faced the conference’s top-ranked pass defense last week; in theory, he should have an easier time against Virginia Tech. This game should be very high-scoring.
If Duke looks like it’ll score a bit this week, can it stay within 26.5 points? I say yes. That’s just a huge spread for Virginia Tech to cover. It could still blow Duke out – which it should – and not cover. I like Virginia Tech to win this week but, since Duke will pass on the Hokies, I like the Blue Devils to beat the spread.
Duke vs Virginia Tech prediction: Virginia Tech 45, Duke 24
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Duke +26.5
Over/Under: OVER 61
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