Baylor vs Texas Betting!
Baylor is sitting at 17-12 and a few weeks back it looked like they were on course to make the Big Dance. However, they have lost 4 of their last 5 games and at 8-8 they are on the bubble.
Venue/ Stadium: Frank Erwin Special Events Center, Austin, TX
Time/Date: 9 PM EST Monday, March 4, 2013
NCAAB Odds From: Sportsbook.ag
Spread: Baylor -1.5
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Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns Preview
Texas will not be making the Big Dance unless they win the Big 12 conference tourney, but they are coming off a win and have won 3 of their last 6 games. NCAAV lines have Baylor as slight 1.5-point road favorites with a total of 137.
In their last games Texas lost to Oklahoma State 78-65 and Baylor lost to Kansas State 64-61.
On the season Baylor is 11-13 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 12-11 and Texas is 14-12-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 13-11.
Texas is 11-4 at home this season while Baylor is only 4-6 on the road.
Earlier this season at Baylor the Bears beat the Longhorns 86-79 in OT.
Baylor has a solid offense ranking 33rd in the nation in scoring and they Longhorns will have to play good D in this game, as their offense is not a high scoring one ranking 236th in the nation in points per game.
Baylor leading scorer Pierre Jackson (19 ppg) has put up decent numbers in the last couple of games, but he has struggled with his shot. He is a speedy 5’10″ G that the Bears have to keep out of the lane. One guy the Longhorns really have to worry about is 7’1″ C Isaiah Austin (13.6 ppg 9 rpg), who has the size and Texas cannot let him dominate in the paint.
Texas leading scorer Sheldon McClellan (13.3 ppg) is coming off a game where he did not score and he and backcourt mate G Julien Lewis (10.4 ppg) must play well tonight, as Texas does not feature a lot of frontcourt scoring.
Jonathan Holmes (6.7 ppg 6.1 rpg) and Ioannis Papapetrou (8.5 ppg 4.3 rpg) are the top 2 rebounders for the Longhorns and they are 6’7″ and 6’8″ respectively. They have to play good inside D tonight facing the 7’1″ Lewis and 6’9″ Cory Jefferson (11.9 ppg 8.3 rpg).
In some betting trends for this Big 12 match up Baylor is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, and they have an Over record of 12-5 in their last 17 road games.
Texas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Jason’s Pick: The Bears have covered the spread in their last 4 games at Texas, but that trend will not continue. Texas is solid at home and they will cover tonight facing a reeling Baylor squad.