#19 Memphis Tigers Predictions: 2010/2011 NCAA Future Lines
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MySportsbook.com Odds to win NCAA title – 30/1
NCAA Basketball – Memphis Preview
Key players added – PG Joe Jackson, SG Will Barton, F Jelan Kendrick
Key players lost – Elliot Williams, Doneal Mack, Pierre Henderson-Niles
The Tigers lost their leading scorer and their 2nd leading rebounder, but there are high expectations because of the influx of new talent Memphis has. Once again, Memphis had one of the best recruiting classes led by the duo of PG Joe Jackson and SG Will Barton. Both of these players can fill it up and shoot the rock from deep, which is one of the main strengths of the team. These 2 will have to play well for the Tigers to have any chance to get back in the Big Dance, which they were left out of last season.
Memphis is in the Conference USA, which is led by guard play and the Tigers have the most talented, yet unproven, backcourt in the conference.
Barton is not only one of the most talented freshmen in the nation, but he also has a ton of confidence in himself and the Tigers stating, “We’re going to win the national championship this year, I’m guaranteeing it.”
SF Wesley Witherspoon (12.5 ppg last season) is the Tigers’ leading returning scorer and was selected to the Conference USA pre-season 2nd team. SG Will Barton, who has not even played a game for the Tigers, joins Witherspoon on the pre-season 2nd team. Yeah, that is how talented he is. If he has a good season he will likely follow another Tigers’ G in Derrick Rose and be a one and done player off to the NBA.
G Charles Carmouche averaged 12.6 ppg for New Orleans last season and since New Orleans dropped from Division 1 to Division III he is eligible to play this season.
The Tigers will have to shoot the rock well this season, as they are not the best rebounding team. PF Angel Garcia and C Will Coleman will be counted on to man the boards and give Memphis some low post scoring this season. Coleman was the leading rebounder last season and Garcia played sparingly, but that will change this season. These guys will get their chances to score, as team will stack the perimeter so the Tigers do not beat them from deep. 
I mentioned that Memphis is a good shooting team and last season they nailed 284 3-point bombs and shot 38.8% from downtown. Carmouche shot over 35% from deep at New Orleans and Barton can also nail the long ball.
2nd year head coach Josh Pastner cannot afford another NIT showing this season like the last one, as the Tigers’ faithful are used to Conference USA titles and deep NCAA tournament runs. He has the young talent and will just have to rein it in and get the most of it.
The Tigers won 24 games last season and did not get an invite to the Big Dance mainly because of their weak pre-conference schedule and also because they were 0-4 against teams that were ranked in the top 25. This season they face 3 ranked teams, as well as a solid Miami team, before Conference USA begins and they will have to play well in these games and in the conference to get back to the NCAA tournament.
The Tigers are loaded on paper with all the young talent they have, but games are not played on paper and the freshman guards will have to play well this season for Memphis to have the success they are used to.
Surprising stat: Last season was Pastner’s head coaching debut and it was the first time he did not go to the Big Dance as a player or a coach.
Strengths: Youth, talent, and guard play. Batron and Jackson are the keys for the Tigers this season and even though Barton is the big scorer Jackson will run the point and will have to run it well.
Weaknesses: Veteran leadership and rebounding. The Tigers are a young team and there are not many guys besides Coleman and Garcia that can hit the glass.
Big Dance? Probably. The Tigers have too much talent on the roster to not make the tourney.
Memphis Win total prediction for 2010-11
The Tigers won 24 games last season and with their improvement at the G position they will get a few wins over top 25 teams and they will win around 26-28 games.
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