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NASCAR Sprint Cup AdvoCare 500 Preview and Prediction

Betting ON AdvoCare 500 Gambling Odds

The 2012 Sprint Cup season is down to a pair of races left from a 36-race schedule with a pair of drivers left chasing a series title. This Sunday afternoon, the series is at Phoenix International Speedway for the running of the AdvoCare 500.

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NASCAR Sprint Cup AdvoCare 500
Race: AdvoCare 500 at Phoenix International Speedway
Date: Sunday, Nov.11, 2012
Time: 2 p.m. (ET)
Broadcast: ESPN

This race is slated get underway at 2 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally ESPN.

Jimmie Johnson made it to victory lane for the second-straight week after taking the checkered flag at Texas last Sunday, but Brad Keselowski remained right on his tail in the standings by finishing in second place.

The following is a closer look at our favorite, contender, and longshot for this Sunday’s race along with their current odds to win as provided by Sportsbook.

The Favorite (odds of less than 10/1)

Jimmie Johnson’s back-to-back victories in the last two races of the Chase have him firmly in the driver seat to secure his sixth Sprint Cup title in the last seven years. He leads Keselowski in the standing by seven points and has been opened as a +400 favorite to extend this winning streak to three this Sunday.

Given his current form and past performance at this track, it would be hard to bet against him. The No.48 car has posted five wins on the season, but what really adds the value to these odds is Johnson’s ridiculous 5.3 average finishing position at Phoenix. Helping the cause were three-straight victories from 2008 to 2009 and a third-place finish in last year’s race.

The Contender (odds of 10/1 to 19/1)

There are a number of veteran drivers that would fall into this week’s contender category at +1200 to win on Sunday, but Jeff Gordon might just offer the best value.

His shot at a title faded early in this season’s Chase, but you know that the No.24 car will be racing hard on Sunday to try and double his 2012 point-race win total to two. Gordon may find himself working to get his Hendricks Motorsports’ teammate (Johnson) the win, but if he is in position to take the checkered flag he will not hesitate to do so.

Recently at this track, he won the first race here in 2011 and ended-up eighth in the early race at Phoenix this season.

The Longshot (odds of 20/1 or higher)

Greg Biffle has been a forgotten man over the past few races after fading all the way back in the Chase to No. 10 after making an early run. However, at +2000 to win this Sunday’s race, there is some solid value in those odds if you are looking for a play on a moderate longshot.

The No.16 car has enjoyed some recent success at Phoenix with a fourth-place finish in this race in 2010 and a third-place finish in the early race this season.

Biffle has never won at this track, but he has now finished in the top-five in three of his last six races here.

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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