2010 NFL Team Odds, Preview, & Predictions – New York Giants
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N.Y. Current Odds to Win:
Giants NFC East Odds – +325
Giants NFC Championship Lines – 11/1
Giants 2011 Super Bowl Futures – 25/1
New York Giants Season Over/Under Win Total – 8.5
The way the 2009 season started, New York appeared to be the same team that won it all in 2007. The Giants roared out of the gate with a 5-0 start only to completely unravel down the stretch to finish at 8-8 and in third place in the East.
The most startling development was the complete collapse of the defense as they gave up an average of 35.5 points per game in their final four games of the year.
With a very capable quarterback in Eli Manning and solid running backs like Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw, the Giants should once again have a very balanced and productive offense. Manning finished last season with 4,021 passing yards and 27 TD’s. His 93.1 passer rating was the highest in his six year career with the Giants as he completed over 62 percent of his passes.
Manning’s biggest problem is the lack of a true No.1 receiver. Since the departure of Plaxico Burress, who was such a huge part of this offense, New York has struggled to find an adequate replacement. Steve Smith led the team in 2009 with 107 receptions for 1,220 yards, but at 5-foot-11 is not nearly the physical presence that Manning had come to rely upon in Burress.
The Giants can still rely on a punishing running game led by Jacobs and Bradshaw. Last year, these two combined for over 1,600 yards on the ground and 12 TD’s and can provide the necessary balance that can take the pressure off the passing game.
The major overall this past offseason was on the defensive side of the ball. Head Coach Tom Coughlin, who is known for his defensive prowelllness, made it a point to address all the issues that plagued last year’s unit. He used his first four picks in the draft to take two defensive linemen, a free safety, and a linebacker.
First round pick, DE Jason Pierre-Paul should improve a pass rush that ranked 18th in total sacks last season and the others will add some youth and depth to a unit that finished last season ranked 13th overall and 30th in points allowed.
Last year, the Giants went 4-4 straight up both at home and on the road. They were 4-2 in the division including two wins over the Cowboys; 33-31 in Dallas and 31-24 at home. They were 6-10 against the spread; 2-6 at home and 4-4 on the road.
On paper, New York looks like a team that should be right back in the thick of things in the East this season as they still have a talented offense that should be able to overcome some of the short comings of its defense.
In reality though, you have to wonder how the players will respond to Coughlin’s highly disciplined approach to running this team, if the Giants get off to a rocky start.
In the first seven weeks, they host Tennessee and are on the road against Indianapolis, Houston, and Dallas.
By their bye in Week 8, we should have a pretty good feel for which direction this team is headed in 2010. Something just tells me it is going to be in the wrong direction.
2010 Prediction: 4th in the NFC East
Win Total: UNDER
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David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.
