June 13, 2013 at 2:15 PM #52338
Qbin Missile CrisisKeymaster
The UFC heads North of the border this week to Winnipeg, Manitoba for UFC 161. The injury bug has affected the card drastically – a slightly watered-down card comes our way this week. But that shouldn’t mean that the excitement level should be diminished. There are a handful of terrific match-ups for your viewing pleasure. Let’s break it down!
UFC 161: Evans vs. Henderson Date: June 15, 2013 Time: 10pm ET/7pm PT Location: MTS Centre, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada Broadcast: Pay-per-view
Rashad Evans (17-3-1): -125 Dan Henderson (29-9-0): -105
The Main Event at UFC 161 resembles more of a typical second or third fight on a Main Card but injuries has propelled Rashad Evans and Dan Henderson to the biggest contest on the card. Evans, a former title holder is coming off his worst career performance – an absolutely ugly loss against Antonio Noguiera in February while Henderson lost a split decision last time out to Lyoto Machida.
Evans usually has a decided wrestling edge in any bout he enters into but not in this one – Hendo has some stellar wrestling chops to go along with an immense amount of experience in his 42 year old frame – there simply isn’t much that Henderson has not seen inside the Octagon. A telling stat – Evans has executed just one takedown in his last two fights meaning that this could turn into a standup war. Advantage Henderson.
With Evans unable to get this fight to the mat, this is Henderson’s fight to lose. Evans should be motivated for a big effort after his Dud in February but his challenger Saturday knows better than anyone how to get up for a big fight. Hendo simply has more tools and is by far the tougher guy. Evans will exit with even more question marks that when he entered.
Pick: Dan Henderson -105
Stipe Miocic (9-1-0): +210 Roy Nelson (19-7-0): -270
An intriguing fight immediately precedes the main event when Roy Nelson steps into the Octagon once again – this time against little known but plenty dangerous Stipe Miocic. We all know what Nelson brings to the Octagon – an iron jaw and hands of stone! But Miocic brings a tremendous technical striking background and OK wrestling chops. But perhaps the most important advantage for Miocic – his seven inch edge over Nelson.
Miocic may not be the most recognizable name in North American MMA but he is certainly a stiff test for Nelson Saturday. That said – one punch is all that Nelson needs and if that punch doesn’t materialize he can always fall back on hi jiu-jitsu Black Belt. It doesn`t matter the size of the opponent or the quality of his skills, Nelson always comes to fight. Nelson keeps the roll going with another quick stoppage in this one.
Pick: Roy Nelson -270
Alexis Davis (13-5-0): -400 Rosi Sexton (13-2-0): +300
Two fighters making their UFC debuts Saturday hope to make an impression on their new boss as Alexis Davis takes on Rosi Sexton in women’s action on the Main Card. Both fighters have seven submission wins among their 13 MMA victories – both are solid grapplers with some good ground skills. But Davis holds the size advantage, the striking edge and will also be the stronger of the two when the Octagon door closes. Davis gets it done in another entertaining women’s bout!
Pick: Alexis Davis -400
Pat Barry (8-5-0): -125 Shawn Jordan (14-4-0): -105
In what promises to be an entertaining standup was, Pat Barry, off a knockout win versus Shane del Rosario takes on Shawn Jordan who himself recorded a TKO win last time out over Mike Russow. Jordan’s best chance will be to drag this fight to the mat but Barry’s takedown defense is very underrated. Barry’s superior technical striking will be the difference in this one – he has more tools and also has a bit of desperation working for him. With more talent being signed daily by the UFC there simply isn’t enough room for the “average fighters” of the Heavyweight Division.
Pick: Pat Barry -125
Ryan Jimmo (17-2-0): -260 Igor Pokrajac (25-9-0): +200
Ryan Jimmo had been on quite a role – 17 straight wins before a loss to James Te Huna last time out. He takes on the well rounded Igor Pokrajac who has been anything but impressive his last few outings. Both men are in the middle of the pack in the UFCs Light Heavyweight Division looking to climb the ladder.
Jimmo will have the striking edge and that is where this fight will be won or lost. Pokrajac could drag this fight to the mat but his preference seems to be standing and trading inside the Octagon. That plays into Jimmos hands – Jimmo starts another win streak Saturday in knockout fashion.
Pick: Ryan Jimmo -260
Jake Shields (27-6-1): +150 vs. Tyron Woodley (11-1-0): -180 Pick: Jake Shields +150
James Krause (19-4-0): +180 vs. Sam Stout (19-8-1): -220 Pick: Sam Stout -220
Sean Pierson (13-6-0): -155 vs. Kenny Robertson (12-2-0): +125 Pick: Sean Pierson -155
Roland Delorme (8-1-0): -185 vs. Edwin Figueroa (9-2-0): +155 Pick: Roland Delorme -185
Mitch Clarke (9-2-0): +200 vs. John Maguire (19-5-0): -260 Pick: John Maguire -260
Yves Jabouin (18-8-0): -330 vs. Dustin Pague (11-7-0): +255 Pick: Yves Jabouin -330
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