June 13, 2013 at 2:09 PM #52334
Qbin Missile CrisisKeymaster
Toronto Blue Jays (28-36) vs Texas Rangers (38-27)
Thursday June 13
The Ballpark at Arlington – Arlington, TX
TOR: Esmil Rogers (R)
TEX: Yu Darvish (R)
Moneyline: Texas -220, Toronto +201
The Toronto Blue Jays got rained out of their final game against the White Sox this week but the way that series was going that was probably a blessing in disguise. It also helps the Jays to have an extra day of rest as they have been shuttling players up and down from their minor league affiliate in Buffalo regularly due to some very long games and poor performance. The pitching has been a disappointment all season long and the bats have not been able to make up the slack. One guy who is really trying is 1B/DH Adam Lind who is quietly hitting .344. Quietly because he has yet to reach the number of at bats to qualify among leaders and because he only has 18 RBIs to show for it.
The fact is that no team has used as many starters as the Blue Jays this season. Esmil Rogers has been with the club all season long but only recently has he been tabbed to start and he has looked pretty good though he has yet to work deep into either of his two starts. In his last one he held the Texas Rangers to just one run on three hits over 4 innings last week – while striking out 6 at the Rogers Centre. He has the stuff to be a starter and came up as one with Colorado but the results were not very impressive.
After being the best team in the Majors for the first 6 weeks of the season the Texas Rangers have struggled of late. They have relinquished their lead in the American League West to Oakland and will be looking for some matter of revenge against Toronto which beat them twice last weekend. They followed that up with another series loss against Cleveland, this time at home, a place where they have been generally very good this year. Something is up with the Rangers but it might just be that they weren’t really as good as they looked early on. They might have been due for a slide.
As they look to get back to winning the Rangers turn to Yu Darvish, the Majors leader in strikeouts. Texas is 9-4 this season when he takes the hill as the big Japanese righthander shows even more polish in his second season. Darvish has pitched well against Toronto getting a lot of strikeouts from the free swinging club. It hasn’t always translated to wins though, including a start last weekend where he was just average and got no decision in the loss. He is always very tough to hit and can spin a gem at any time.
O/U Pick: Over
Score Prediction: Toronto 7 – Texas 6
The Blue Jays have definitely been playing better of late, even better than the Rangers you coudl argue. You can get some great value on the underdog if you are willing to get over betting against Yu. Toronto has the kind of sluggers that can make a difference against a power pitcher like Darvish and Rogers is sort of a hot hand. The probabilities might be a little low but the value is high so I say punch it.
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