September 17, 2013 at 4:01 PM #52721
Qbin Missile CrisisKeymaster
Rangers Bay Pick
Venue/ Stadium: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida
Time/Date: 7:10 PM EST Tuesday, September 17, 2013
MLB Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Cubs +110 / Pirates -130
Over/Under: 8.5 runs
With the Red Sox running away with the AL East and the Rangers really slumping these 2 teams may need to rely on the Wild Card to make the playoffs. Each team is in 2nd place in their respective divisions with the Rays 9 games back of the Red Sox and the Rangers 6.5 games back of the A’s.
These 2 teams are tied for the Wild Card race, but are only 1/2 game up on the Indians and 2 games up on the Orioles.
Despite their recent woes the Rangers are in a good spot to make the post-season, as their last2 series of the season come against sub .500 teams in the Astros and the Angels. The same cannot be said for the Rays, as in their next 2 series they face the Orioles and the Yankees, who are both chasing Tampa Bay for a Wild Card berth.
In yesterday’s game the Rays beat the Rangers 6-2.
On the season the Rangers have an Over/Under record of 57-85 and a run-line W/L record of 63-86 and the Rays have an Over/Under record of 68-73 and a run-line W/L record of 71-78.
This season the Rays are 46-28 at home and the Rangers are 42-33 on the road.
After a tough stretch the Rays have won 4 of their last 5 games while the Rangers have lost 7 straight.
Texas has not lost 8 straight since the 2005 season.
Alexi Ogando (6-4 3.23 ERA) goes for the Rangers tonight and in his last outing he did not give up any earned runs in 1 inning of work in a no decision facing the Oakland A’s.
For the Rays Jeremy Hellickson (11-8 5.04 ERA) gets the start and in his last outing he gave up 3 earned runs in 5 innings in a no decision against the Boston Red Sox.
Ogando will make his first start since Aug. 13th, as he was on the DL with a shoulder injury.
Hellickson is 0-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 4 career starts against the Rangers. The Rangers are the only team, besides the Astros, that has never beaten.
Texas 3B Adrian Beltre is 4 for 6 with 2 homers overall against Hellickson.
In some betting trends for this AL match up the Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games, 3-13 in their last 16 overall, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
The Rays are 23-10 in their last 33 home games, 13-6 in Hellickson’s last 19 starts, and they have an Under record of 19-7-1 in their last 27 home games.
In the last 6 games between these 2 teams in Tampa Bay the total has gone Under 5 times.
Jason’s Pick: The Rangers are slumping and I think they will continue to do so, as the Rays will win and Hellickson will get his first career victory against Texas.
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