June 3, 2013 at 4:36 PM #52268
Qbin Missile CrisisKeymaster
Venue/ Stadium: AmericanAirlines Arena, Miami, FL
Time/Date: 8:30 PM EST Monday, June 3, 2013
NBA Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: Pacers +300 / Heat -370
Spread: Heat -7
In the regular season the Pacers finished 16.5 games behind the Heat, but that does matter now, as tonight’s winner take all Game 7 will decide which team will face the Spurs in the NBA finals. The home team is 16-2 in Game 7 finals in the conference finals and finals. NBA lines have the Heat as 7-point home favorites with a total of 180.5.
In Game 6 the Pacers beat the Heat 91-77.
On the season the Pacers are 54-45 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 48-49-2 and the Heat are 54-43 and they have an Over/Under record of 49-45-3.
This season the Heat are 43-6 at home and the Pacers are 22-27 on the road.
In Game 6 the Pacers played great defense, as the Heat only shot 36.1% from the floor.
LeBron James has played great in the playoffs, but the other 2 of the Big 3 of Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh have not in the last couple of games. In Game 6 this duo only combined for 15 points on 4/19 shooting. These guys need to step up and help King James out, as Game 6 showed he cannot do it all.
In the last 3 games in the series Wade is only averaging 12 ppg on 32% shooting and Bosh is averaging 6.2 ppg on 24% shooting. It is key that Bosh get deeper in the lane and get feeds and not settle for outside jumpers.
The Pacers shot 50% from the floor in Game 6 with Paul George and Roy Hibbert combining to score 52 points and each shot over 50% from the field.
The Heat have to play better perimeter D in this Game 7 and it is also key that they hot the boards. In Game 6 the Pacers hit 6 of their 11 3-pointers and they out-rebounded the Heat 38-24.
Chris Anderson will be back in this game after being suspended in Game 6 and he must hit the glass and play good D on Hibbert.
In some betting trends for this Eastern Conference finals game the Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Conference Finals games, and they have an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.
The Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss, and they have an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.
In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Miami the total has gone Over every time.
Jason’s Pick: I think Miami will win this game, but the Pacers will play them tough and cover the 7-point spread.
You must be logged in to reply to this topic.